820
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Silver Hotspur, 5/1 Mister Always, Sion Hill, Sovereignty, 8/1 Avoncreek, 14/1 Maiden Investor, Orchestration, 16/1 George The Best .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Silver Hotspur is the obvious starting point but a penalty means he's considerably worse off with Mister Always and Avoncreek, both of whom have finished ahead of him in recent starts. SOVEREIGNTY will probably again have to shoulder some overweight but is offered up as an alternative now the draw is finally no issue.[GW] |
Multiple handicap winner equals more weight and the likelihood that the winning sequence will end sooner rather than later.
Raather than select an each way alternative I will lay Silver Hotspur today again to monitor in running
FOOTY
First game of interest is the Birmingham v Chelsea game, and ,having held out against another of the big 4 last week, I cannot see it happening this week and will happily back Chelsea at 1.63 in the match odds market, again to be reactive as the game goes in running .
This game is likely to be characterised by Brum's defensive tactics keeping the game tight with CHelsea eventually surcumbing. That being the case - if 0-0 at half time, back Chelsea at enhanced odds to gain eventual control.
Boro's only victories have come against Portsmouth and Derby recently. This game has gone to Blackburn on each of the last 5 occasions.
| 10.5 | |||||||||
| 13.5 | |||||||||
| 28 | |||||||||
| 55 | |||||||||
| 7.2 | |||||||||
| 7.4 | |||||||||
| 19 | |||||||||
| 50 | |||||||||
| 7.8 | |||||||||
| 8.8 | |||||||||
From the aboce correct scores, perhaps level stakes on 0-0, 1-0, 1-1, 2-1, 2-0 could back us a deent enough profit
I can see the match report from Roy "interesting" Hodgson after the Fulham match " well I thought we held out really well but eventually we succumbed to their quality"
For me Arsenal /Arsenal at 2.36 and Draw/Arsenal at 4.7 in the half time/full time market may enhance the 1.47. A small amount on Fulham /Arsenal too at 28 as a safety valve.
Again, for in running players, if 0-0 at half time back the Arse at enhanced odds or back them if they go a goal down.
Derby have succumbed by a goal only in 5 of the last 6 with a draw against Newcastle signalling that it'#s just not their season. Portsmouth are shorn of a number of important black players and again this will be a tight game in my view. Portsouth have not won at home , better yet scored a goal and I will chance an under 2.5 goal trade today. THere are obvious sequences to be beaten such as scoring at home and winning at home and perhaps this could be the day
Derby +1.5 on the Asians gives them a 2 goal advantage which they could win
Reading v Man Utd - choo choo - all aboard the over 2.5 goal train?
At 1.71 this could enhance the odds.
One eye on trading given the 0-0 at Old Trafford last time ( BUT this was away for a defensively set up Reading)
Gretna at home to Flakirk interest me - IF in running, laying Falkirk appeals here and if NOT in running ,a couple of shillings on Gretna at 11/4
The Keegan factor has ensured odds on status for Newcastle United and I think I will go against the grain here and back under 2.5 goals. Expectation is very high BUT we still have the same squad that has been doing nothing of late save a victory against the mighty Stoke City.
Again in running trading. 1.92 is a good starting point and I hope that the odds will reduce during the early part of the game to ensure a trading profit
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