When I left you I left you with a juicy 20/1 winner - huge prices on Betfair which puts paid to the unplaced horses. Yes, I opposed the 2/7 shot in a maiden hurdle if memory serves and came up trumps.
EACH WAY BETS
On to today
210 CHEPSTOW
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Trenchtown, 9/4 Loyal Knight, 8/1 Bahamian Blue, 10/1 Dubai Land, 12/1 What´s For Tea, 16/1 Bozeman Trail, 20/1 Cool The Heels, 33/1 Zarees, 50/1 Balais Folly, Friction, Lenouska, Les Allues, No To Trident, 66/1 Paul The Carpet, Virtual Paddy.
A big field maiden race with 2 horses likely to fight out the finish if prices are to be believed. This opens us up to some each way thievery incase on of the 2 market leaders don't give their running OR one of the bigger prices improves for their last runs. We can ignore the 33/1's and overs leaving us 5 horses to chose from for each way purposes. I'll chance Dubai Land and Cool the HEels more in hope than expectation.
200 HAYDOCK
ETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Silvanus, 15/8 Hammadi, 7/1 Not My Choice, 12/1 No Page, 14/1 Chivola, Inxile, 16/1 Writingonthewall, 33/1 Hamish McGonagall, Kiowa Princess, Senorita Parkes, 66/1 Silken Spell, 100/1 Charlie Oxo.
Another race with a similar profile - this time 4 horses priced to be competitive froma palced perspective - Not my choice and Writingonthewall each way
235 HAYDOCK
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Striking Spirit, 7/2 Call For Liberty, 4/1 Dazzling Colours, 9/2 Beacon Lodge, 8/1 Classic Descent, 10/1 Tawzeea, 33/1 Babilu, 66/1 John Potts, Viscaya, 100/1 Kalanda Kurl,
Worth speculating on Classic Descent and Tawzeea each way , priced just before the outsiders
650 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Ordinance, 3/1 Aboriginie, 5/1 Tenjack King, 10/1 Hit The Roof, 14/1 St Michael´s Mount, 16/1 Averoo, Quam Celerrime, Slip, 20/1 Formation, Wabbraan, 25/1 Nikolaievich, 33/1 Cocktail Shaker, 50/1 Fongster.
Yet another maiden - Tenjack King is the obvious candidate but I'll chance Hit the Roof each way incase one of the front 3 should falter
720 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Ceka Dancer, 5/2 Dream Day, 10/1 Danvers, Street Diva, 12/1 Faraami, Tense, 14/1 Lady Sorcerer, 20/1 Albany Becky, 33/1 Racey Rachel, 50/1 Regal Veil, 100/1 Jazz Romance,
Yet another maiden, but the betting forecast looks good for each way thievery - a lot of debutants here so a couple of bug priced throw away bets in Lady Sorcerer and Albany BEck each way at big big prices
750 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Annie Skates, 3/1 Island Vista, Stones Of Venice, 20/1 My Aunt Fanny, 25/1 Mollyatti, Rowan Dancer, 33/1 Bushy Dell, 50/1 Amouretta.
Highly speculative on My Aunt Fanny each way in yet another maiden chock full of unknown quantities. I am betting against the top 3 in the betting forecast finishing 1-2-3 in the race
150 NEWBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Slam, 8/1 Alfathaa, 10/1 Dusk, Mushtaaq, Opera Prince, 12/1 Love Galore, 14/1 Mashrai, Silver Rime, 20/1 General Tufto, 25/1 Rock Peak, 33/1 Daddy´s Boy, Monashee Rock, 200/1 Ice Choice.
No doubt this will be appearing in the price gap section and is another maiden race where we can speculate on the bigger prices - Mashrai and Silver Rime are positioned just before the "outsiders"
PRICE GAPS
320 CHEPSTOW
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Royal Indulgence, 11/2 Spunger, 6/1 Measured Response, 7/1 Trevian, 8/1 Libre, Soviet Sceptre, 10/1 Our Kes, 20/1 Sekula Pata, 25/1 Cat Six, Factual Lad, Mango Masher, 33/1 King´s Spear, 40/1 Red Current, 50/1 Ernmoor, Tullythered, Vehari .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: ROYAL INDULGENCE (nap) has been thriving in these conditions and can complete a hat-trick before the handicapper has his say. Our Kes may be the biggest danger, while Measured Response and Spunger have both seen the tail of the selection recently and are unlikely to be far away once more.[SR] |
Not so much a standout price gap when compared with our templates of United Nations and Palmetto Point. Also, a multiple winner in handicap company - although the hint is he is out of the handicappers reaches at present
I'd be happier with the place only but I said that before to see 11/4 and 5/2 shorts bolt home with the similar price gap profile
600 KILBEGGAN
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Right Combination, 9/2 Gran Reserva, 7/1 King Ali, 8/1 She´s The Question, 12/1 Lord Celtic, 14/1 Even Homer Nods, Kilo Charlie, Komoto, Leamybe, 16/1 You´re My Girl, 20/1 Chancer Daly, Key Devil, 25/1 Dont Askim, Mac´s Conflict, Restored Promises, 33/1 Chestnut Man ,
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: RIGHT COMBINATION is more likely to be capable of improvement than any of his rivals in what looks an ordinary 3m maiden. The Presenting gelding was having his first run since April when a satisfactory fourth to Mister Month in a 2m1f contest at Tralee, and left an impression that he would stay further when keeping on for second behind the well-fancied Insan Flyer at Down Royal last Saturday.\n Yes the price gap is there but this is another maiden hurdle - remember what happened to the 2/7 shot last time out? I'll probably sit this one out (cue 10 length win ) 630 KILBEGGAN BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 The Crazy Parson, 6/1 Oily Colman, 13/2 Karlo, 8/1 Maree Prince, Royal Mount Loftus, 10/1 Eight Fifty Six, Moscow Summit, 12/1 Mullica Lad, Pharviva, 14/1 Dead Level, 20/1 Some Trainer, Theyankfromclare, 25/1 Gannon Again .
A good price gap -the distance is a slight concern - 3 miles + in firm ground 150 NEWBURY BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Slam, 8/1 Alfathaa, 10/1 Dusk, Mushtaaq, Opera Prince, 12/1 Love Galore, 14/1 Mashrai, Silver Rime, 20/1 General Tufto, 25/1 Rock Peak, 33/1 Daddy´s Boy, Monashee Rock, 200/1 Ice Choice .
Huge price gap - again this is an ideal scenario - reinforced by the difficult to oppose words - likely to go off at a price significantly below the 10/11 , Slam will probably end up at a ridiculously short price which will prove unbackable to all bar Bill GAtes ( and why's he betting anyway - he doesn't need the money!) Slim pickings really as far as the price gaps arte concerned but worth seeing how they fare from a win and a place only perspective FOOTY SOme good matches tomorrow for the Euro 2008 qualifiers and plenty of great opportunities for high risk and lower risk trading - more to follow. As always if I bag a big winner with the each way punts, I'm calling it a day - these are highly speculative and the prices backed indicate that |
No comments:
Post a Comment