back-lay-trade-horses-football: 14/9

Each ways are poor and I am perhpas being TOO speculative. Choisette was another ideal price gap horse who won well. The others all placed .
PRICE GAPS
445 BANGOR
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Notre Cyborg, 9/2 King Cyrus, 6/1 Wilhewispa, 13/2 Medic, 10/1 Andijan, 12/1 Overbranch, 20/1 Heebie Jeebie, 40/1 Billy The Shifter, Boston Mondain, 50/1 Africa Blaze, My Beautiful Loser, 66/1 Little Paddy, 100/1 Maisemore, Rexmehead .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: NOTRE CYBORG (nap) had things made easy for him on Sunday but his confidence should be sky high now and he is preferred to King Cyrus, who has yet to live up to market expectations but is open to improvement in a first-time tongue tie.[PJ]

Another criteria worth looking at is the price gap as it appears in the early morning prices - I did flag up Theta's price shortening yesterday and it won, here King cyrus is down to 7/2, 3/1 in some places with Notre cyborg still odds on. This isn't a rock solid price gapper to me, in the mould of Choisette
240 DONCASTER
BETTING FORECAST: 6/5 Septimus, 7/2 Allegretto, 7/1 Geordieland, 8/1 Balkan Knight, 10/1 Distinction, Finalmente, 33/1 Baddam, 50/1 Land ´n Stars .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: SEPTIMUS (nap) is readily preferred, this classy middle-distance horse having shaped as if 2m2f would be well within range when winning decisively upped to 2m at York last time. He looked to have a bit up his sleeve when beating Balkan Knight there and even with a 3lb turnaround this time, the form ought to be confirmed. Balkan Knight may still be next best, ahead of Geordieland.[MCu]

Septimus

Jarred his shoulder in last year´s Derby but has come back better than ever this season, winning well at the Curragh (on pretty quick ground, too), excellent second in the Coronation Cup and then taking step up to 2m in his stride when decisive winner ofLonsdale Cup at York last time; style of that win suggested he could have pulled out more if need be and, with that performance suggesting this trip will be within range, the one to beat.
POSITIVES
Aiden OBrien / Murtagh combination must be taken seriously. Napped by Spotlight, looks to have only Allegretto to beat.
NEGATIVES
No real " hard to oppose" wording , Allegretto is very close at 7/2 and is a niggle. Septimus is stepping into the unnown distance wise.
CONCLUSION Looks nailed on for a place but at odds against may be worth including as a bet - 5/4 we'll get a decent run for our money and not many of these price gappers are odds against
310 DONCASTER
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Fleeting Spirit, 7/2 Captain Gerrard, 6/1 Dark Angel, 9/1 Spirit Of Sharjah, 12/1 The Loan Express, 14/1 Proud Linus, 16/1 Cake, Warsaw, 33/1 Cute Ass .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Captain Gerrard, Spirit of Sharjah and Cake are better than they showed behind FLEETING SPIRIT in the Molecomb but, with the form so well advertised by Kingsgate Native's Nunthorpe win, Jeremy Noseda's filly remains very much the one to beat back at her optimum trip. Captain Gerrard can chase her home.[FC]

POSITIVES "very much the one to beat back at her optimum trip" HArdened to 11/10 early doors but with near market rival at 7/2.
Fleeting Spirit

Lost unbeaten record with the step up to 6f in Lowther, finishing a close third having raced keenly up with the pace, and little doubt she is ideally suited by the minimum trip; must be hard to beat judged on Molecomb victory over subsequent Nunthorpe winner Kingsgate
Native.
NEGATIVES
5 furlong affair , high class opposition, not am imposing price gap.
CONCLUSION - again being odds against swings me towards backing for the win
345 DONCASTER
BETTING FORECAST: 2/5 Tobosa, 3/1 Mount Hadley, 13/2 Rock Of Veio, 100/1 Little Darlin .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: TOBOSA sets a very high standard for the other two serious contenders to surpass and though his best effort came when coming from off the pace in a strongly run handicap, he has shown smart form in single figure fields. Michael Hills may well have to adopt different, much more prominent tactics this time but it really shouldn't make any difference-a win is highly likely.[MCu]

Mount Hadley has shortened to 5/2 early morning - you can chance a forecast only bet on Tobosa to win and Mount Hdley to come 2nd - it's currently 1.66 although I would leave this race alone amyself
220 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Kashoof, 4/1 Your Pleasure, 8/1 Barbary Boy, Mayaar, 10/1 Wavertree Princess, 12/1 Warden Fizz, 16/1 Karmei, 25/1 Ubiquitous Bounty, 66/1 Sistos Fascination .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The betting should give an idea of expectations for the newcomers, but KASHOOF sets a decent standard and her experience may well be a deciding factor.[FC]

Not really gone on from second to Laureldean Gale (clear second in Deauville Group 3 since) in 6f Newmarket maiden but similar level of form and proved effectiveness back at the minimum trip on the same course when runner-up off 84 last month; sets a good standard on that evidence and likely to be hard to beat.
POSITIVES - decent enough pricew gap although, again, doesn't leap out at you like CHoisette yesterday. "likely to be hard to beat" Now 8/11 with nearest rival 5/1
NEGATIVES - has had 4 runs in maiden company , this is a maiden race over 5 furlongs. At Sandown yesterday over the straight course front runners tended to be favoured. Some newcomers in the field too
CONCLUSION - a good place only bet for me due to the race type, but if KAshoof gets an early lead then this will be a good in running play
320 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Amarna, 4/1 Pillar Of Hercules, Safwa, 5/1 Padlocked, 12/1 Bajan Pride, 20/1 Cesc, First Buddy, Kyle, 50/1 Baylini .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Plenty of winners are already emerging from both the Kempton races the promising AMARNA (nap) won last month and there should be a good deal more to come from the Godolphin colt. Padlocked and Pillar Of Hercules can provide the main opposition.[AC]

POSITIVES - form seems to have been franked - Godolphin horses must always be respected
NEGATIVES - out to 2/1, 9/4 early morning with Pilalr of Hercules now 3/1 and threatening for favouratism
CONCLUSION - a no bet for me - I would slide towards Pillar of Hercules for the place
855 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Gemology, 5/1 New World Order, 10/1 Yab Adee, 12/1 Oat Cuisine, 14/1 Beech Games, Fair Sailing, 20/1 Mark Of The Fen, 25/1 Balanchine Moon, Pont Wood, Princess Danehill, 33/1 Wattys The Craic, 66/1 Lily La Belle, 100/1 I´m Agenius .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Although GEMOLOGY proved a disappointment in an ordinary event in Dubai when last seen in February he had previously shown more than enough on his debut to suggest he has a race of this nature in him. He is bred to handle this surface and is taken to beat the exposed New World Order. [RY]

POSITIVES - good price gap here
NEAGTIVES - all weather debut, up in trip, disappointed last time out , 204 day absence to overcome, maiden race, 3 debutants , and a coupel of horses open to improvement
CONCLUSION - will have to look at the betting nearer the off but there are enough negatives at preent to put me off Gemology

EACH WAY
A cracking place only lay system! BUT it's a backing system!
230 BANGOR
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Keycavern, 3/1 Dr McFab, 4/1 Hypnotic Vibes, 11/2 Marju´s Gold, 9/1 Majestic Chief, 12/1 Finlay´s Footsteps, 20/1 Goldan Jess, Royal Tender, 33/1 Salto Chico, 50/1 Wassendale.
A change of tack today -Marjus gold each way - going for more obvious ones and see how we progress
230 CURRAGH

BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Grecian Dancer, 4/1 Dimenticata, That´s Hot, 5/1 Abraham Lincoln, 6/1 Fleeting Shadow, 8/1 Mutamared, 14/1 Murfreesboro, 16/1 Inourthoughts, 20/1 Johnstown Lad, Pelican Waters, 33/1 Nanny McPhee.
Fleeting Shadow and Abraham Lincoln each way representing Weld/Smullen and O'Brien
135 DONCASTER
BETTING FORECAST: 100/30 Perfect Act, 7/2 Relative Order, Winter Bloom, 6/1 Dubai Dynamo, 8/1 Huzzah, 10/1 Indian Days, Kersaint, 20/1 Higgy´s Boy, 50/1 Hansinger.
Dubai Dynamo eachw ay
220 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Kashoof, 4/1 Your Pleasure, 8/1 Barbary Boy, Mayaar, 10/1 Wavertree Princess, 12/1 Warden Fizz, 16/1 Karmei, 25/1 Ubiquitous Bounty, 66/1 Sistos Fascination .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The betting should give an idea of expectations for the newcomers, but KASHOOF sets a decent standard and her experience may well be a deciding factor.[FC]