As ever on a Friday, a limited service as I want to allocate time to the
Saturday and Sunday matches. But there are a couple of standout matches I want
to look at on Friday.
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07.08.2011
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02.04.2011
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06.11.2010
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LEAGUE POSITION - 4th v 1st and quite
a surprise to see home side in 4th place. Last 2 head to heads recount a
Mgladbach side able to defend well against the attacking prowess of FC
Hollywood.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures,
forthcoming fixtures and likely team - mgladbach
RECENT HOME FORM - DWWWDWWDW - solid
at home , unbeaten this season. Against top 8 it's DWDWD - all draws were score
draws.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WLDLWWWWDLW -
only 4 defeats this season have been away from home and all 1-0 defeats. Only 3
draws this season, all at home and all score draws v top 8. We can infer ,
then, that at home worse case could be a score draw against top teams.
GOAL TRENDS - 44% overs at home. Have
scored in all home matches. Last 3 matches unders and 4 before that overs. 3
clean sheets in last 5, other 2 were 1-0 loss and 1-1 draw. Only failed
to score in those 4 1-0 away defeats. It looks like Mgladbach are solid
defensively.
STREAKS - 9 at home without defeat.
Have scored in last 9 matches.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures
-forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Bayern Munich
RECENT AWAY FORM - WWWDLWLW - only 2
away defeats have come in last 4 matches against 7th and 14th 2-1 and 3-2 and
both convincing enough. Have only played one of top 4 away and won 2-0
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWDWLWWLLWWW -
2 of 4 defeats this season 1-0's at home to 2nd and 4th. This makes the away
defeats rather anomolous in the context of a superb season
GOAL TRENDS - 63% overs away from
home and 70% overs overall. 8 of last 9 matches over 2.5 goals. Have conceded
in 5 of last 6 matches which is in stark contrast with 9 clean sheets in
preceding 10 matches. Have failed to score in only 3 matches this season. Have
only conceded 3 goals in the first half of matches all season. 7 conceded in
2nd half and bearing in mind 5 goals were conceded in those 2 defeats alone,
might Bayern be a little more vulnerable than usual? The opponent leads at half
time in only 11% of matches.
STREAKS - no draw in 9 overall. No
defeat in 3 overall. Have scored in last 4 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Bayern
tend not to do unders but they are playing a home side here who look to be rock
solid defensively and are likely to be bang in there for a score draw.
Odds seem a little short for Bayern if ultra defensive Mgladbach turn up.
Unders a possible goer as could 0-0 . Who will out? Unders defensive strengths
of home side v overs of away side?
730pm - Sable-sur-Sarthe v Paris St-G - 1.17 away - this French Cup
match should be the mismatch the odds suggest. the question is whether Paris SG
will play a fullteam and this will be as per the odds ( 3/4 goal win) or as per
the Porto/benfica cup matches ( 1-0 wins when 1.12) Always tough to gauge these
one timers.
SATURDAY
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26.11.2011
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28.08.2011
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09.04.2011
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14.11.2010
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Clean sheets in last 6.
LEAGUE POSITION - 8th v 1st.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures,
forthcoming fixtures and likely team - St Mirren
RECENT HOME FORM - WLLDWLDWLWD - talk
about inconsistent. They have lost 0-2 already at home to Celtic. But beat
Rangers 2-1 at home.
RECENT FORM OVERALL -
LWDWLLDDWDLL - last 2 wins were home wins, both 2-1 against Dunfermline and
Rangers and latterly Rangers scored first. Have conceded 5-2-2-1-1-2-2-5 in
last 8 matches.
GOAL TRENDS - 55% overs at home. 8 of
the last 9 matches over 2.5 goals largely down to concession rather than
scoring. Have scored and conceded in last 7 overall. Have failed to score in 4
of 5 matches at home against top 5. Score 76% of goals in the first half of
matches, 12 of those just before half time.
STREAKS - Have scored and conceded in
last 4 at home.Have scored and conceded in last 7 overall so expectation for a
1-1 minimum?
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures
-forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Celtic
RECENT AWAY FORM - WWWLLDWWWWW - have
lost away to 2nd and 3rd only and have beaten 8th 0-2 away and 0-5 at home this
season already. 6 out of 6 wins against bottom 6 were to nil. 2-0's, 1-0
and 3-0's the prevailing scorelines. Celtic have not conceded in last 4
overall.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WDWWWWWWWWWWW -
superb form scoring 2-0-2-2-2-5-1-1-2-2-1-3-2
GOAL TRENDS - 36% overs away from
home. 3 of last 4 matches overs 6 clean sheets in last 8 matches. have failed
to score in 3 matches.
STREAKS - 11 match winning streak. No
defeat in 14 overall. Have scored in last 11 ( obviously).
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS -
What chance a win to nil here? Look at head to heads, look at 2 matches this
season, look at Celtic winning to nil away to bottom 6, and St Mirren losing 4
of 5 at home to top 5 without scoring. 0-1, 0-2, -0-3 goers I hope. St Mirren
have been managing to score of late. I hope the cleansheetitis of Celtic comes
through.
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27.08.2011
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17.02.2007
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05.03.2005
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Only 1 recent head to head of
relevance saw an easy enough home win this Premiership season.
LEAGUE POSITION - 9th v 4th. Chelsea
will remain 4th if they win. Norwich are top 10 - amazing
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures,
forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Norwich
RECENT HOME FORM - DLWWDLWWLD - the
DLWW sequences ended with a LD recently. Perhaps tellingly , defeats at home to
3rd and 5th 0-2 and 1-2 and playing 4th today. The wins have seen 4-3-2-2
scored which is quite a surprise. Loss against Spurs at home saw Spurs score
2nd half. Loss against Arsenal saw Norwich score first.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - DDLLWLWDDLDWW -
last 3 defeats have come against Arsenal , Man City and Tottenham.
GOAL TRENDS - Norwich have conceded
in all matches this season which infers, given their record, that they either
come back if conceding first, or actually concede if scoring first.60% overs at
home.Overwhelming overs this season. Have failed to score in 3 matches this
season.
STREAKS - Have conceded in last 21
matches.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures
-forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Chelsea
RECENT AWAY FORM - DWLWLWWDDW -
losses away to Man Utd and QPR. LDWD against top 8 away .
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLWLWWWDDDLWW -
very ropey form indeed. Recent wins have seen 89th and 90th minute goals to
gloss the 3-0 win v Newcastle, 82nd minute pen to beat City at home, 3 1-1
draws, a 1-3 home loss to Villa, a 1-2 away win v Wolves care of an 89th minute
winner, and 1-0 at home v Sunderland.
GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs away from
home. Only 2 of last 6 matches over 2.5 goals. A feeling 1-1 is a goer as a
tradable scoreline given Chelsea's current record. Chelsea have only failed to
score in 2 matches. A relative consistency about scoring throughout the 90
minutes.Good starters to the first 1/4 of the 2nd half and last 1/4 of the 2nd
half for Chelsea hint that if they are in trouble up to half time, we could
expect a comeback 2nd half.
STREAKS - no defeat in 5 away. Have
scored in last 12.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - 2
top 10 sides here , surprisingly enough for Delia's boys. Losses for
Norwich at home v 3rd and 5th saw Spurs take til the 2nd half to score
and Norwich score first against Arsenal. I just get the impression this could
be a typical Chelsea match, you know , initial struggles, and lucky and feck
2nd half breakthrough goal and possible late late winner. A feeling 1-1 could
be a good back to lay correct score for trading purposes only. With Chelsea
most unconvincing and conceding, Norwich could score. This could be another
match where halftime could see us return to the markets. 0-0 might be a back to
lay trade initially.
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16.04.2011
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14.08.2010
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Difficult to call this match, despite
Everton winning to nil.
LEAGUE POSITION - 11th v 17th.
Blackburn might be the most motivated with their current status as outside the
bottom 3 ( on goal difference).
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures,
forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Everton
RECENT HOME FORM -LDWLLWLDWL -
inconsistent look to the home form.Have lost to 18th and 19th at home which
suggests that those who need the win ( strugglers) are finding some way to get
a result at Everton.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLWWLLDWDWLLD -
recent defeats against Bolton and Spurs saw Everton concede 2. Everton
have scored 0-0-1-1-1-1-1-0-1 in their most recent matches. Therein lies their
problems.
GOAL TRENDS - 40% overs at home. Have
kept a clean sheet in only 10% of matches at home. Overwhelming recent trend is
with unders. Everton have scored in 6 of last 7 matches but had great trouble
scoring previously.
STREAKS - no strong streaks
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures
-forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Blackburn
RECENT AWAY FORM - LDLDDDLLDW -
what's with that 2-3 win against Man United. Amazing and turned those draws
into a win at last. All draws score draws.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDLDLWLLLDWLW -
look at recent results, wins against United and Fulham, and a draw against
Liverpool. A loss against Stoke spoilt this recovery.
GOAL TRENDS - 70% overs away from
home. 9 of last 10 matches over 2.5 goals. 1-1 draw v Liverpool was a
successful over 2.5 goals trade. Have scored and conceded in all away matches.
have conceded in all matches this season. Overwhelmingly over 2.5 goals. Have
scored and conceded in last 10 overall.
STREAKS - Have scored in last 10 away
and last 10 overall and conceded in last 10 away and last 21 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS -
Blackburn likely to concede at some stage, or will this very long sequence end
with a clean sheet for Blackburn against an Everton side which has struggled to
score of late - 0-0-1-1-1-1-1-0-1 recently.
You get the feeling Blackburn must be
incredibly confident after 3 goals against United and Fulham, a draw with
Liverpool too. And Blackburn have an ability to score as well as concede of
late which hints at over 2.5 goals IF, and only if, Everton manage 1 goal. 1.59
at home is far too short for me looking at the form. There may be a reason I
don't know - team news etc? But given I am researching 2 days before the
matches I am afraid this is something you will have to do.
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28.08.2011
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02.02.2011
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If Newcastle lose, it seems to be a
1-0 of late.
LEAGUE POSITION - 14th v 6th
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures,
forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Fulham
RECENT HOME FORM - DDDWLLWWLW - wins
against Liverpool, Bolton and Arsenal in last 4 home matches. Defeats at home
have come against 2nd , 3rd and 11th.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLWLDDWLWLDDWL
- lost 0-5 at home v Man Utd recently. 2 draws 1-1 were away v Chelsea and
Norwich. DLLW at home v top 5.
GOAL TRENDS - 60% overs at home. have
conceded 11 goals in last 1/4 hour of matches this season. Despite 3 of last 4
matches overs, overwhelming trend is with unders. Have scored and conceded in
last 4 matches overall.
STREAKS - 7 at home without a draw.
Have conceded and scored in last 4 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures
-forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Newcastle
RECENT AWAY FORM - WDDWWLDLWL -
recent losses against Man City, Norwich, and Liverpool saw Newcastle
conceding 3-4-3. Tend not to lose away to bottom 9.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWLDLLDLWLWW -
really dodgy patch coincided with playing the better teams but not 3 wins in
last 4 against Bolton, Man Utd and QPR.
GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs away from
home. Demba Ba has scored 15 goals this season ( next best 4) - overwhelming
over 2.5 goals trend this season 4 of last 6 matches were clean sheets.
STREAKS - have scored in last 8 away
and last 5 overall. No draw in 5 overall
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS WWLW
at home plays WLWW overall -2 teams who have suddenly found their form. This
makes this a difficult game for me to read, The goal trends point to overs.
Remember though that we don't need to get involved in every match we research.
We have a Fulham overwhelming unders trend v a Newcastle overwhelming overs
trend. fulham have struggled against top 5 - are Newcastle worthy of
their top 6 status?
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10.12.2011
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10.09.2011
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17.02.2007
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LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming
fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures
-forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
3pm - QPR v Wigan - 2.12 home - 18th v 20th and I am afraid I
will keep up with my leaving new manager matches alone. QPR under Sparky may be
renewed, or take time to play as he likes so any form research for QPR
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27.08.2011
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23.04.2005
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13.11.2004
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This is also one of those " one
off matches" featuring bottom and 3rd bottom. I personally would favour
Wigan but this is not a match we can get a real angle into.
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28.08.2011
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Clean sweep by Rangers
LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 9th, all to
play for for Rangers.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures,
forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Rangers
RECENT HOME FORM - DWWWWDWDWWW -
unbeaten at home.Draws against 3rd, 5th and 8th, 2 draws were 1-1 and the other
0-0.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDWWWDLWWWLLWW
- last 3 defeats were away from home.Losses away to 1st 6th and 8th, against
1st and 6th were 1-0.
GOAL TRENDS - 46% overs at home. 4 of
last 5 matches over 2.5 goals with 3 of the scorelines 2-1. Have failed to
score in 3 this season, and all 3 occured in last 9 matches. Celtic are the
only side to have scored 2 or more against Rangers at home this season so look
for a Rangers scoreline to nil or one.
STREAKS - 3 match home winning streak
2-1, 2-1, 3-0. 8 overall without a draw. No defeat in 11 at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures
-forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Aberdeen
RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLDLLDLWLW - last
2 wins , both 1-2 away to St Johnstone and Dundee United. Have lost away to
1st, 2nd , 3rd and 4th away 2-1, 2-0, 3-0, 1-0. 6 away matches without
scoring.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLLDLDWWLDWD -
last 2 draws were 0-0 draws at home to Hearts and Kilmarnock. 7 defeats and a
0-0 draw against top 8 home and away for Aberdeen.
GOAL TRENDS - 55% overs away from
home. 0.82 scored away on average. Only 2 of last 5 over 2.5 goals but the
general recent trend is towards overs.Aberdeen have kept a clean sheet in 3 of
last 5 matches. 2 0-0's in last 3 matches.
STREAKS - 4 away without a draw. Have
scored in last 3 away and conceded in last 7 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
- as ever when the Old Firm is involved, form should revolve around how
the opponents have performed against the Old Firm and those in 3rd and 4th, and
it is clear that Aberdeen have lost 7 and drawn 1 0-0 n the 8 home and away
against top 4. 3 defeats without scoring against top 4 away could be replicated
today. Looking at home form, Rangers worse case should be a draw, and probably
a score draw. Speculators might see 0-0 as a goer here given Aberdeen have had
2 0-0's in last 3 ( and if Rangers can't score early, Aberdeen are unlikely to
score). 2-1 seems to resonate amongst these teams, perhaps with a 2-0 cover for
rangers ?
3pm - Stoke v West Brom - 2.02 home - this is a match
again which is just too close for me to call. 1-1 and 0-1 scorelines relate
what is likely today. Instinct points to a really defensive outlook by both
sides.
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28.08.2011
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20.11.2010
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LEAGUE POSITION - 8th v 15th - Stoke
in the Top 10 must be pleasing to their manager. WBA are slowly putting some
distance between themselves and relegation
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures,
forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Stoke
RECENT HOME FORM - DWDWLLWWDD -
defeats at home have come against Newcastle and QPR. Generally 2+ goals scored
against bottom 4 sides at home.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLLLWWWWLDDWD -
3 draws in last 4, and 2 of them were 0-0 draws. Only 1 defeat in last 9
matches sees Stoke in very good form.
GOAL TRENDS - 50% overs at home. The
overs seem to be split between top 4 or 5 or bottom 4 or 5 at home.10 of last
13 matches over 25 goals. Stoke have failed to score in 3 of last 5 matches
against Man City, Villa and Liverpool. In the most recent matches Stoke have
scored 2-2-0-0-2-2-0 - either 2 goals or no goals.
STREAKS - 4 at home without defeat
and 4 overall without defeat.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures
-forthcoming fixtures and likely team - WBA
RECENT AWAY FORM - LWLDWLDWWL - WBA
have lost away to 3rd, 4th, 5th and 10th .Top 10 sides and Stoke are top 8! WBA
failed to score away in losses v 3rd, 5th and 10th. Last away loss was a
0-1 v Spurs.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLWLDLWWDLLL -
Poor WBA are reverting to unlucky - 0-0 v Man City, 0-1 home loss v Everton
- 87th minute goal, 1-0 away loss v Spurs - 63rd minute goal, 1-2 home
loss v Norwich - 79th minute loss.
GOAL TRENDS - 70% overs away from
home. 3 of last 4 matches under 2.5 goals reflect the " hard luck"
WBA are having. They have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches. And
have only kept a clean sheet in 4 matches.
STREAKS - have conceded in last 8
away matches - no win in 4 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS -
Stoke have only had one defeat in last 9 matches. WBA are just losing and the
hard luck story will end soon.The goal trends signal a potential over 2.5 goals
( 50% overs for Stoke and 70% overs for WBA away). Not a match I want to trade
but unders , a contrarian view, could be a goer early on. WBA cannot want to
lose a 4th consecutive match . 1-1 could be a potential trading only
correct scoreline.
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HEAD TO HEADS
27.08.2011
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And another headscratcher, but new
manager Martin O'Neill has made a huge difference for Sunderland. Will the good
times continue against an accomplished Swansea side punching above their
weight.
LEAGUE POSITION - 12th v 10th -
close together in the league.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures,
forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Sunderland
RECENT HOME FORM - LLWDDDLWDW - only
1 defeat in last 8 at home was against Wigan and signalled the end of Bruce's
reign
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LDLLWLWDWWL -
only 2 defeats recently, both 1-0's and both away v Spurs and Chelsea. A recent
home win against Man City says it all about the O'Neill factor
GOAL TRENDS - 60% overs at home. Have
scored 10 in last 15 minutes of matches this season. A big raft of draws
against 11th, 13th, 14th, 15th at home , 3 of 4 are score draws.
STREAKS - no defeat in 3 at home.
Have scored in last 4 at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures
-forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Swansea
RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLLDDLDLW - only
1 win away was last match 0-2 v Villa - 0-0 draws against 6th and 7th
.Swansea have not won away against top 11.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WDLDLWDLDDWW -
1 defeat in last 7 and that was a 1-0 away at Everton.Arsenal the only side to
have scored 2 goals in those matches.
GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs away from
home.Overwhelming recent unders trend for the Swans.
STREAKS - 2 away without a draw. Have
scored in last 4 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - 0-0
sole meeting perhaps reflective of Swansea'a ability to defend well.Only 1
defeat in last 8 at home for Sunderland meets a Swansea side with only 1 win
away this season. I think this makes it advantage Sunderland. Goaltrends
difficult because, remember, we are dealing with a home side under new
management.
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HEAD TO HEADS
28.08.2011
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30.01.2011
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26.12.2004
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LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming
fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures
-forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
3pm - Wolves v Aston Villa - 2.64 home - I don't really like getting involved in derbies. The last 2 head to heads are a good gauge ,at least, as to how Wolves have approached recent matches as you will see below in their overall form.
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19.03.2011
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LEAGUE POSITION - 16th v 13th
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures,
forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Wolves
RECENT HOME FORM - WLLLDWWLDL - last 2 defeats, both 1-2 against Stoke and Chelsea. The D in the middle is a better reflection of Wolves' current form.Wins have generally come against bottom 9 and that is where Villa currently reside. Wolves have beaten 12th and 14th 2-0 and 2-1 and playing 13th today.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WLLWLLDDDLD - 4 draws in last 5 and all score draws and the loss against Chelsea a heartbreaking Fat Frank 89th minute winner.
GOAL TRENDS - 80% overs at home. An amazing amount of 2-1, 2-2 scorelines , both winning and losing at home. Only 1 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals down to the 1-1 draws
STREAKS - Wolves have scored and conceded in last 7 at home, which immediately hints at 1-1 starting point for trading?No win in 7 overall and have conceded in last 18 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures
-forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Villa
RECENT AWAY FORM - DDDLDLDWDW - last 2 wins, only wins of the season against Bolton and Chelsea must surely boost the confidence. We see a progression with Villa in deliberately attempting to avoid the draws that pervaded them early season. Petrov scored in the 2 wins, and the fact Villa are scoring more than 1 in matches must help in that avoidance of draws.Sole away defeats have come against 1st and 3rd, but draws have pervaded mid to upper-lower part of the table.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLDLWLLDWLD - talk about inconsistent -an inability to string together a positive set of results makes Villa a difficult side to read. Majority of defeats have come at home.
GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs away from home. Overs and unders alternate in recent matches again adding to that Villa unpredictability. Villa have failed to score in 6 of last 10 but I remind you of the 2 wins in last 3 aways which infer that the scoring problems are occuring at home.
STREAKS - 4 away without defeat..
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - firstly, I don't like involvement in derbies of any kind, as there is a different dynamic about the matches that leads to unpredictability. And talking of unpredictability, look at Villa's overall form, and sudden ability to score and beat Chelsea away. It is most certainly a day for very closely matched teams and I really can't get an angle in here at all, suffice to say that Wolves' forwards are not clicking - Conan Doyle upfront only has 2 this season. A This falls into the category of a match I will avoid. If you have an opinion then read the form and decide for yourself. We don't have to get involved in every match which presents itself.
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14.02.2011
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11.09.2010
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LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures,
forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures
-forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
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28.08.2010
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LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures,
forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures
-forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
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Liverpool seem to have the advantage here in head to heads although away at Bolton the scorelines tend to be a lot closer.
LEAGUE POSITION 19th v 7th - important game for both sides. The bottom half is so congested that 3 points could be invaluable today in the bid to stay up.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming
fixtures and likely team - Bolton
RECENT HOME FORM - LLLLLWLLLD - that 5-0 win v Stoke came from out of nowhere . Against other top 10 sides at home Bolton have conceded 2 goals minimum.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLWLLLLLWLDWL - signs of recovery last 5 matches with away wins against Blackburn and Everton and a home draw v Wolves. Defeats recently v Newcastle and Man Utd.
GOAL TRENDS - 60% overs at home. Average concession rate at home of 2.4 goals. Hugely vulnerable to conceding at either side of the halftime break. An average 1.19 goals scored this season suggest problems if conceding over 2 on average. It points immediately to a likely 1-2 loss.Opponents score first in 3/4's of matches this season - an angle in if there were to be a goal? Have failed to score in 5 of last 9.
STREAKS - 4 at home without a win, and have conceded in last 10 matches overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures
-forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Liverpool - no Suarez is a huge miss, and Carroll Vorderman is not scoring. How important is this absence of a world class striker?
RECENT AWAY FORM - WLLWWWLWDL - all defeats away have importantly seen Liverpool unable to score, and that is the key to Bolton's success today particularly helped by Suarez's ban.Liverpool have failed to score in last 3 away matches.Have only played one of bottom 5 away and that was a 0-0 v Wigan. Vulnerable to a good defensive side away. That was the sole draw away.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WDWDLWWDDWLD - only 1 win in last 5 for Liverpool threatening to derail any top 4 aspirations. 0-3-1-0-0 scored in those matches highlights potential attacking concerns.
GOAL TRENDS - 30% overs away from home. and 29% overs all season highlights a lack of goals in matches. Good defence. Only 4 defeats and all away from home.4 away wins were 0-2 - Suarez the top scorer with 5 goals tells you everything!
STREAKS - no discernible streaks.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - If Bolton approach this match from an ultra defensive perspective, they will get something. All Liverpool defeats this season have been away and have been without Liverpool scoring a goal. best Case for Bolton therefore is a 1-0 home win. But it will take a huge leap of faith from a side conceding 2.4 on average at home and whose opponents score first in 75% of matches. Bolton have conceded in last 10 matches. This could be a frustrating afternoon for the Reds and Bolton could surprise with Suarez absent and the other strikers not firing. I feel a 0-0 might be backable initially to stay in for as long as you dare. A match really to watch and perhaps react to see how Liverpool fare upfront. Bolton defend, they will get something from this match, but conceding in last 10 matches signals potential smash and grab from Liverpool.
betting research template
HEAD TO HEADS
28.03.2010
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07.11.2009
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17.05.2009
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21.12.2008
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LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures,
forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures
-forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
betting research template
HEAD TO HEADS
15.10.2011
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07.03.2010
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23.08.2009
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20.01.2007
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LEAGUE POSITION
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures,
forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures
-forthcoming fixtures and likely team
RECENT AWAY FORM
RECENT OVERALL FORM
GOAL TRENDS
STREAKS
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
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