HEAD TO HEADS
| 06.11.2011 | D1 | FC Utrecht | 6-4 | AFC Ajax | |
| 23.01.2011 | D1 | FC Utrecht | 3-0 | AFC Ajax | |
| 03.10.2010 | D1 | AFC Ajax | 1-2 | FC Utrecht | |
| 28.02.2010 | D1 | AFC Ajax | 4-0 | FC Utrecht | |
| 06.12.2009 | D1 | FC Utrecht | 2-0 | AFC Ajax | |
| 01.03.2009 | D1 | FC Utrecht | 0-2 | AFC Ajax |
LEAGUE POSITION - 5th v 15th
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Ajax
RECENT HOME FORM - WWDDDDWW - unbeaten at home. All draws score draws either 1-1 or 2-2. 3 of the draws came against top 6. The wins have been emphatic by 4 goals or more.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - DDWLDWWWWDL - only 3 losses have all been away. The last 2 defeats saw Ajax score 4 and 2 goals and, of course, still lose. 5 of the draws and 2 of the defeats overall came against top 8 sides. Inference therefore that 15th are easier pickings.
GOAL TRENDS - 75% over 2.5 goals at home. Have scored in all home matches. Have failed to score in only 1 match this season. Have scored 4-4-2-3-4-1-4-1-2 in recent matches. The recent 1's were scored away.
STREAKS - 2 match winning streak at home. No defeat in 8 at home. Have scored in last 8 at home and last 11 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Utrecht
RECENT AWAY FORM - DLWLLLDLLL - really poor away run of late.all defeats away have come against top 12 .Lost 2-0 to 3rd and 4th away.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLLWDLLDLDL - sole win was against today's opponents 6-4 when Utrecht at home. Is this going to be another goalfest?Have failed to score in 5 of the 7 defeats against the top teams away.
GOAL TRENDS -40% overs away from home. 4 of the last 6 matches under 2.5 goals. Have failed to score in the last 3 away matches , all defeats. Have only kept a clean sheet in 2 matches this season.
STREAKS - 40% over 2.5 goals away from home.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - If Ajax win, it's usually by 4 or 5 at home. Will that be the case today? Slight concern with Utrecht conceding a maximum 2 in defeats against the big boys and not scoring last 3 away. Yes most recent head to head this season clearly over.2 5 goals. General tendency for over 2.5 goals and worth a chance. 2-0, 4-0, 3-0 possible scorelines if Ajax on their " a " game. As ever, I don't know team news for both ( it is the month after transfer month so there may be changes).
FORM LAB
• HT/FT: Ajax have had W/W double results in 8/8 home matches against bottom-six teams while Utrecht have lost by two or more goals in 6/11 trips to Big Two teams. Utrecht have lost 9/11 away matches against Big Two teams.TOP 3 INDICATORS
1) - HT score 0-0 v All
2) - Home clean sheet v Bottom 6
3) - Home 2nd half win v Bottom 6
1215pm - Rangers v Dundee Utd - 1.45 home
Rangers have only lost 2 matches in recent times in the Scottish Cup , 2 1-0 defeats against Celtic and Dundee United. Little to go on I know. A tendency not to lose but against today's opponents previously? How will that improve Dundee United today
1pm - Asteras Tripolis v Doxa Dramas - 1.52 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 25.01.2012 | D1 | Doxa Dramas | 1-0 | Asteras Tripolis |
Sums Doxa up really. Ultra defensive outfit who, at their best, will stop teams scoring hopefully for the whole match.
LEAGUE POSITION - 11th v 16th
LEAGUE POSITION - 11th v 16th
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Asteras
RECENT HOME FORM - DDDWWWWW - have only conceded 2 goals at home
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWLWLWLLWDWLW - all recent defeats away.
GOAL TRENDS - 13% overs at home, 22% overs overall.Have failed to score nearly in alternate matches this season. Clean sheets in 8 matches.
STREAKS - 5 match home winning streak. No defeat in 8 at home.Have scored in last 6 at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Doxa - have generally played 3 matches fewer than their opponents this season. Only 6 points accumulated.
RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLLDLL - have only scored in one away match and that was 2-1 loss to 10th ( playing 11th today)
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLLDDLLLWL - conceded 3 recently against Aris but that is not the norm. 3 of the last 4 scorelines 1-0 is more Doxa like.
GOAL TRENDS - 29% overs away from home and 20% overall this season - all bar 3 matches under 2.5 goals. Have failed to score in all bar 3 of 15 this season.
STREAKS - 7 away without a win. Have failed to score in 4 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - what chance unders anyone? Obvious and likely to be reflected in the price. Value? 0-0 back to lay and stay in for as long as you dare. correct scores? 1-0, 0-1, 2-0 may help bump up the odds and give us a run for our money.
FORM LAB
• -2.5 goals: There have been -2.5 goals in 10/14 A Tripolis home matches while Doxa Drama have drawn the first half in 5/7 away matches. Doxa Drama have lost 6/7 away matches.
130pm - Anderlecht v Genk - 1.52 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 02.10.2011 | D1 | Racing Genk | 0-1 | Anderlecht | |
| 06.05.2011 | D1Ch | Racing Genk | 1-0 | Anderlecht | |
| 15.04.2011 | D1Ch | Anderlecht | 2-0 | Racing Genk | |
| 04.03.2011 | D1 | Anderlecht | 1-1 | Racing Genk | |
| 31.10.2010 | D1 | Racing Genk | 1-2 | Anderlecht | |
| 14.03.2010 | D1 | Anderlecht | 2-0 | Racing Genk |
Anderlecht, at home, are unbeaten
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 6th
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 6th
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Anderlecht
RECENT HOME FORM - WDWWWWWDWWW - unbeaten at home. Have beaten 7 of the top 10 played at home. And it's 2, and more like 3+ scored against those top 10 teams at home! In only 1 match this season have Anderlecht failed to score 2 at home.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WLWWDLWDWWWD - only 3 defeats this season have come away v 7th, 8th and 14h.
GOAL TRENDS - 82% overs at home. Average 2.81 scored at home. Have kept a clean sheet in 3 of last 4. Only failed to score in 3 this season.
STREAKS - 3 match home winning streak. No defeat in 11 at home and 6 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - genk
RECENT AWAY FORM - DLWDLWLLDDL - Have played 7 of top 10 away losing 5.Have beaten 4th 4-5 in what looked like an epic!
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WDWLLWDWDWLW - last 5 wins all came at home. A sign?
GOAL TRENDS - 46% overs away from home. 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. There is a suggestion against top 3 teams that Genk might play different tactics. 0-1 home loss v Anderlecht, 2-0 away loss v Gent, 0-0 away draw v 3rd placed Liege
STREAKS - 5 away without a win.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS- the last 4 head to heads are under 2.5 goals which is a surprise. Anderlecht have only failed to score 2 in 1 match this season at home, so the inference is that 2-0 must be the logical pick? It's under 2.5 goals and Anderlecht score 2 goals. Genk's last 3 matches have been over 2.5 goals. Maybe recent form will out here?
2-0, 2-1, 3-1perhaps value correct scores. Hard to nail because of those unders head to heads.
FORM LAB2-0, 2-1, 3-1perhaps value correct scores. Hard to nail because of those unders head to heads.
• Match outcome: Anderlecht have won 10/12 home matches against top-six teams and they have won by two or more goals in 7/10 such matches. KRC Genk have conceded first in 5/9 away matches against top-six teams.
TOP 3 INDICATORS
1) - home 2nd half win v top 6
2) - over 3.5 match goals v all
3) - over 3.5 match goals v top half
Again Form Lab offers you a definite angle here and a bit of value.
130pm - Heracles v PSV - 1.8 away
HEAD TO HEADS
| 06.11.2011 | D1 | PSV Eindhoven | 4-1 | Heracles Almelo | |
| 17.04.2011 | D1 | Heracles Almelo | 0-2 | PSV Eindhoven | |
| 04.12.2010 | D1 | PSV Eindhoven | 5-2 | Heracles Almelo | |
| 14.02.2010 | D1 | Heracles Almelo | 0-1 | PSV Eindhoven | |
| 22.11.2009 | D1 | PSV Eindhoven | 4-0 | Heracles Almelo | |
| 25.04.2009 | D1 | Heracles Almelo | 0-2 | PSV Eindhoven |
big scoring in 4 of 5 matches from PSV
LEAGUE POSITION - 10th v 1st - 2nd and 3rd are only 2 points behind so PSV ideally would like the 3 points.
LEAGUE POSITION - 10th v 1st - 2nd and 3rd are only 2 points behind so PSV ideally would like the 3 points.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Heracles
RECENT HOME FORM - WDLWWLDWLW - a contrasting season. Only draws and defeats at home to top 7 and all wins at home against 8th and below.All defeats single goal defeats, 2 0-1 and 1 2-3 defeat and 2 1-1 draws so tight affairs.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWLLDLWLLLW - all draws this season have been score draws.Last 2 wins home wins.Only 2 wins in last 9 matches is poor recent form.
GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs at home.Average 2 scored at home. Have only failed to score 3 times this season, twice in last 4 matches.
STREAKS - no draw in 3 at home and 6 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - PSV
RECENT AWAY FORM - LWDWDDWLWD - inconsistent really at home, albeit 2 losses only against 3rd and 6th . All draws away from home were score draws. Only 2 losses this season only.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWDDWWWLWWDW - solid recent run and only a single defeat.
GOAL TRENDS - 60% overs away from home. Average 2.10 scored away from home. Failed to score in only 1 match this season.
STREAKS - have conceded in last 6 away matches drawing 3 and losing 1 .Vulnerable if conceding away?
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - 1.8 does not recount the market's expectation of PSV scoring 3/4 away. I think they could win 0-3 , or 0-2 if on form. Do note Heracles have only failed to score in 3 matches this season, so perhaps 1-2, 0-3, 0-2?
FORM LAB
• Match outcome: H Almelo have lost 10/10 home matches against Big Two teams and they have lost by two or more goals in 8/11 such matches. PSV have scored first in 12/16 away matches against middle-third teams.
TOP 3 INDICATORS
1) - Home Draw/Draw v Top 6
2) - Home fail to score v top 6
3) - home HT draw v Big 2
130pm - Newcastle v Aston Villa - 2.18 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 17.09.2011 | PR | Aston Villa | 1-1 | Newcastle Utd | |
| 10.04.2011 | PR | Aston Villa | 1-0 | Newcastle Utd | |
| 22.08.2010 | PR | Newcastle Utd | 6-0 | Aston Villa | |
| 24.05.2009 | PR | Aston Villa | 1-0 | Newcastle Utd |
LEAGUE POSITION - 6th v 14th and a possible 4th ( well 5th on goal difference) for Geordies. New signings? Well the standout seems to be Robbie Keane at Aston Villa. I know nothing of the apparent Geordie signings.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Newcastle
RECENT HOME FORM - DWWDWWLDLWW - nice recovery with 3-0 wins against Man Utd and 1-0 win v QPR at home latest.Defeats at home v Chelsea and 2-3 v WBA.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LDLLDLWLWWLW - an unbeaten run ended lately and how! But in the last 6 matches, we have 4 wins away at Bolton, home against Man Utd and QPR and away v Blackburn. What to make of a recent 5-2 defeat away to Fulham?
GOAL TRENDS - 64% overs at home. Have failed to score in only 4 matches this season. 5 clean sheets in last 8 a reason behind recent good winning streak.
STREAKS - 2 match winning streak at home. 7 overall without a draw. Have scored in last 7 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Villa
RECENT AWAY FORM - DDDLDLDWDWW - we can see a defensive bent with the draws but an attacking Bent has scored in 4 of last 5 matches which see an unbeaten run and the draws replaced mostly by wins against Wolves, Chelsea and Bolton. Only 2 losses away against 1st and 3rd - are Newcastle in the same league as City and Spurs?There is quite a gap between top 4 and the rest.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDLWLLDWLDWD -a little inconsistent overall.Have played 6 matches home and away against the top 6, losing 4, drawing 1 and winning 1-3 away at Chelsea.
GOAL TRENDS - 55% overs away from home. Only 5 clean sheets this season. 3-0-1-3-2 scored in recent matches suggest the attack is working more than not
STREAKS - 2 match away winning streak. Unbeaten in 5 away. Have scored and conceded in last 3 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - this is a match about recoveries. Newcastle have put to bed the recent home LDL with a WW. Villa have put together a run of WDWW which has turned previous bad habit for drawing into 3 wins. It must be said generally that Villa do not perform against top 6 home or away, but how genuine a top 6 side are Newcastle. They were tonked by Fulham only 2 matches ago. 5 clean sheets in last 8 for Newcastle is cause for concern for overs backers.
The arrival of Robbie Keane for Villa might see goals for a Villa side where previously there weren't enough.
A tough game to predict with 2 teams in form now home and away.
The arrival of Robbie Keane for Villa might see goals for a Villa side where previously there weren't enough.
A tough game to predict with 2 teams in form now home and away.
2pm - AC Milan v Napoli - 1.78 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 18.09.2011 | D1 | SSC Napoli | 3-1 | AC Milan | |
| 28.02.2011 | D1 | AC Milan | 3-0 | SSC Napoli | |
| 25.10.2010 | D1 | SSC Napoli | 1-2 | AC Milan | |
| 21.03.2010 | D1 | AC Milan | 1-1 | SSC Napoli | |
| 28.10.2009 | D1 | SSC Napoli | 2-2 | AC Milan | |
| 22.03.2009 | D1 | SSC Napoli | 0-0 | AC Milan |
This could be some tussle I think, if you see Milan scored 3 and won 2 matches ago, and Napoli scored 3 and won last match.4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals.
LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 7th.Milan have played a game more than 1st in the league.
LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 7th.Milan have played a game more than 1st in the league.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - AC Milan.
RECENT HOME FORM - DDWWWWWWLW - Milan have trouble against the top 5, losing 0-1 to Inter Milan (5th) and drawing ( score draws) against 3rd and 4th.Wins elsewhere.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDWWDWWWLWWL - only 4 losses all season overall, and 2 of them have come in last 4 matches. But do note, all 4 losses came v top 7 only and 3 of them came away.
GOAL TRENDS - 60% overs at home. 2.4 goals scored on average at home.2 of the last 3 matches over 2.5 goals. BUT only 2 of the last 7 matches are over 2.5 goals. 9 of the last 12 matches saw Milan keep a clean sheet. 4 2-0 wins and 2 3-0 wins in those matches.
STREAKS - 8 at home without a draw. 7 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Napoli
RECENT AWAY FORM - WLWDLDDWDL - have only played 2 matches away to top 8, beating 5th and 8th 0-3 and 1-3. Strangely it all goes wrong outside the top 8 with 3 defeats, 3 1-1 draws, a 0-0 draw and a 1-3 win v bottom side.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - DDDWDLWWDDLD - wins against 18th, 9th and 8th recently see Napoli scoring 6,3 and 4 goals. And don't forget the 3 scored away v 5th and 8th in away wins.
GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs away from home. Scored and conceded in last 10 matches but that ended in last match with a 0-0. Still it does hint at an overs.
STREAKS - have scored and conceded in the last 6 away. No win in 4 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - here are the keys - 9 of the last 12 matches saw Milan keep a clean sheet. Will this continue, and scupper over 2.5 goals.? I note too that Napoli have scored and conceded in last 10 matches prior to 0-0 latest. This does hint at over 2.5 goals and Milan conceding where usually they do not. This is the kind of conflict I want to avoid when trading. More conflict. Milan have trouble against top 5. Napoli have played 2 of top 8, scoring 3 in wins. A messy match for me I'm afraid. And a lesson that we do not have to trade every match we research.
FORM LAB
• Asian handicap: AC Milan have won by two or more goals in 11/17 home matches and they have had W/W double results in 10/14 home matches. Napoli have conceded first in 10/20 away matches.
TOP 3 INDICATORS
1) - Home score last v all
2) - Home 2nd half win v all
3) - Home most goals 2nd half v top half
2pm - Juventus v Siena - 1.31 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 18.09.2011 | D1 | AC Siena | 0-1 | Juventus FC | |
| 14.03.2010 | D1 | Juventus FC | 3-3 | AC Siena | |
| 25.10.2009 | D1 | AC Siena | 0-1 | Juventus FC | |
| 24.05.2009 | D1 | AC Siena | 0-3 | Juventus FC | |
| 11.01.2009 | D1 | Juventus FC | 1-0 | AC Siena | |
| 04.05.2008 | D1 | AC Siena | 1-0 | Juventus FC |
4 1-0's and on 2 occasions Juve scored 3 against Siena. At Juve, it's only 2 matches recently, a 1-0 home win and 3-3 draw which saw Juve 3-0 up
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 17th of 20. Tight at the top so apparent home wins have to become simply home wins.
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 17th of 20. Tight at the top so apparent home wins have to become simply home wins.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Juve
RECENT HOME FORM - WDWDWWWWDW - all home draws score draws. Have beaten 19th and 20th 2-0
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDWDWDWDWW - glad to have ended that WD sequence I don't doubt. 3 of the last 4 draws came away from home.
GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 at home. Juve have scored in all home matches this season and only failed to score in 2 matches all season, both away 0-0's. 7 clean sheets in last 11.
STREAKS - 10 at home without defeat. Have scored in last 10 at home. No defeat in 20.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Siena
RECENT AWAY FORM - DDLDDLLLLL - talk about contrasts!Defeats against 2nd and 3rd 2-1 and 2-0
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDLLLLDWLDL - a recent rather random 4-0 home win against 4th placed Lazio stands out John Terry at a Mensa meeting. Totally out of place with the losses and draws around .
GOAL TRENDS - 30% overs away from home. 3 of last 4 matches overs do not really go with the overall theme of the year for unders.Siena have suddenly scored in their last 4 after failing to score in the 5 matches prior to those. Indeed Siena have scored and conceded in last 3.
STREAKS - 10 away without a win.5 match losing streak away.Have conceded in last 6 away
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - if we expect Juve to win, it would seem to be 2-0, 2-1, something like that. Siena could threaten a goal so that would have to be included, and the 2 correct scores straddle overs and unders. It is difficult to call.
In play traders. If you are lucky enough to have a 0-0 for a long time, you may find value as Juve have so far scored in all home matches and Siena have conceded in the last 6 away.
FORM LABIn play traders. If you are lucky enough to have a 0-0 for a long time, you may find value as Juve have so far scored in all home matches and Siena have conceded in the last 6 away.
• Match outcome: Juventus have won 6/9 home matches against bottom-six teams while Siena have lost 6/10 away matches. Siena have lost the first half in 6/10 away matches.
TOP 3 INDICATORS
1) - HT Home Score 1-0 v all
2) - Home score first v all
3) - home ht win v all
2pm - Roma v Inter - 2.52 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 17.09.2011 | D1 | Inter Milan | 0-0 | AS Roma | |
| 11.05.2011 | Cup | Inter Milan | 1-1 | AS Roma | |
| 19.04.2011 | Cup | AS Roma | 0-1 | Inter Milan | |
| 06.02.2011 | D1 | Inter Milan | 5-3 | AS Roma | |
| 25.09.2010 | D1 | AS Roma | 1-0 | Inter Milan | |
| 21.08.2010 | SC | Inter Milan | 3-1 | AS Roma |
last 3 matches tight but 2 were cup matches.
LEAGUE POSITION - 6th v 5th - this is as tight as the odds suggest.
LEAGUE POSITION - 6th v 5th - this is as tight as the odds suggest.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Roma
RECENT HOME FORM - LDWWLWDWWD - 2 defeats only against 2nd and 11th. Draw v 1st and loss v 2nd art home (2-3) - not played 3rd, 4th, 5th
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWLLDWWWWDL - 6 match unbeaten run ended with a 4-2 away loss v Cagliari. Roma's last 3 defeats were away from home.
GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 all season for over and under 2.5 goals. So this could go either way. Have failed to score in only 3 matches this season.
STREAKS - have scored at home in the last 10. No defeat in 5 at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Inter Milan
RECENT AWAY FORM - LLWLDWWWWL - 3 of Inter's away defeats were at the beginning of the season and I think reflect those times and not current form. The last 4 wins away reflect Inter now. Last loss was only 1-0 to Lecce. Inter have only played one of the top 7 away and won 1-0 so the Roma match cannot be gauged against other top 7 sides really.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWLWWWWWWWLD - last 2 defeats were 1-0, either side of a 7 match winning streak.
GOAL TRENDS - 40% overs away from home. 4 overs in last 6 matches. Failed to score in 4 matches only this season.
STREAKS - 5 away without a draw.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Inter should have won the last 4-4 draw -they were 3-2 and 4-3 ahead until the 85th minute. If we accept this as a " should have been win" then prior to that match there was only 1 other draw in 18 matches. Lay the draw an angle in here? Only 2 defeats at home for Roma makes this another conundrum this evening.
FORM LAB• -2.5 goals: There have been -2.5 goals in 11/19 Roma home matches and they have drawn the first half in 5/8 home matches against Big Four teams. Inter Milan have scored first in 9/11 away matches.
TOP 3 INDICATORS
1) - Home 2nd half lose v all
2) - Under 1.5 match goals v Big 4
3) - HT home score 1-0 v Big 4
230pm - Freiburg v W Bremen - 2.28 away
HEAD TO HEADS
| 20.08.2011 | D1 | Werder Bremen | 5-3 | SC Freiburg | |
| 19.07.2011 | CF | SC Freiburg | 3-4 | Werder Bremen | |
| 06.03.2011 | D1 | SC Freiburg | 1-3 | Werder Bremen | |
| 16.10.2010 | D1 | Werder Bremen | 2-1 | SC Freiburg | |
| 23.07.2010 | CF | SC Freiburg | 1-2 | Werder Bremen | |
| 10.04.2010 | D1 | Werder Bremen | 4-0 | SC Freiburg |
ahhh, overs and Werder Bremen - has that ever happened before?
LEAGUE POSITION - 18th v 6th and you'd have thought Werder would have been shorter.
LEAGUE POSITION - 18th v 6th and you'd have thought Werder would have been shorter.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - freiburg
RECENT HOME FORM - LWLWLLDDLW - wins against 4th 9th and 17th. Losses v 1st, 5th, 10th, 11th, 12th Tight 1-0 win v 4th, loss v 5th and playing 6th today.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLLWDDDLLWL - freiburg's recent losses have seen 4-4 and 3 v 1st, 12th and 13th. 2 out of 3 recent wins for Freiburg were 1-0.
GOAL TRENDS - 60% overs at home. 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals. Have kept a clean sheet in 3 this season only and failed to score in only 4 matches.
STREAKS - have scored in last 4 at home. No draw in 4 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - werder
RECENT AWAY FORM - LWDLDWLLLD - last 3 defeats v 2nd, 3rd and 4th saw Werder concede 4-5-5 . They did not score in 2 of those defeats. Last draw was a 0-0 v 16th.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLDWWLWLWLDD - Werder have scored 0-0-1 in last 3 - a blip I hope in our quest for over 2.5 goals.Last 3 defeats away from home.
GOAL TRENDS - 60% overs away from home the same as freiburg at home. 2.2 scored on average away from home. 6 overs in last 9 matches. Werder have kept a clean sheet in only 4 matches this season.
STREAKS - 4 away without a win, 3 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - the head to heads point to over 2.5 goals but Werder have only scored a single goal in their last 3 matches overall.Tight 1-0 matches for Freiburg at home v 4th and 5th ( playing 6th today) further tempers my enthusiasm. And remember I mentioned that the odds were a little out of kilter with Werder winning comfortably against such a lowly positioned side. 60% overs for both could help our overs quest.
FORM LAB
• Match outcome: SC Freiburg have lost 6/8 home matches against top-six teams and they have conceded first in 9/12 home matches. W. Bremen have drawn the first half in 6/8 away matches against bottom-six teams.
TOP 3 INDICATORS
1) - Home 2nd half draw v Top half
2) - Home clean sheet v top 6
3) - Most match goals 1st half v top half
4pm - Chelsea v Man Utd - 2.76 home - I will not be researching this match. The odds themselves tell you this is a match where the best team on the day will win, regardless of recent form. These tussles are always so. Perhaps the biggest news is the potential absence of United's Lindegaard in goal.
| 18.09.2011 | PR | Manchester United | 3-1 | Chelsea FC | |
| 08.05.2011 | PR | Manchester United | 2-1 | Chelsea FC | |
| 12.04.2011 | CL | Manchester United | 2-1 | Chelsea FC | |
| 06.04.2011 | CL | Chelsea FC | 0-1 | Manchester United | |
| 01.03.2011 | PR | Chelsea FC | 2-1 | Manchester United | |
| 08.08.2010 | CS | Chelsea FC | 1-3 | Manchester United |
Over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 6 matches ( albeit only 3 of those in the Premiership) might offer us an instant angle into the match.
FORM LAB
• +2.5 goals: 9/11 of Chelsea’s home matches under Andre Villas Boas while five of the games have featured four or more scores as they’ve netted in each match. The Blues have also scored in 11/11 games hosting top-six teams. Man Utd have had +2.5 goals in six of their last seven league fixtures and also in 17/30 away matches since 2010/11. Interestingly, this figure jumps considerably to 14 in 19 when the visitors have conceded. The last four league meetings between these clubs have had +2.5 goals.
Form Lab have unemotionally gone just with the form on offer.
TOp 3 INDICATORS
1) - Half time score 0-0 v top 6
2) - Home HT draw v Top 6
3) - Under 2.5 match goals v Top 6
5pm - Fenerbahce v Besiktas - 1.96 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 27.10.2011 | D1 | Besiktas JK | 2-2 | Fenerbahçe SK | |
| 31.07.2011 | SC | Fenerbahçe SK | ANL | Besiktas JK | |
| 20.02.2011 | D1 | Besiktas JK | 2-4 | Fenerbahçe SK | |
| 19.09.2010 | D1 | Fenerbahçe SK | 1-1 | Besiktas JK | |
| 18.04.2010 | D1 | Fenerbahçe SK | 1-0 | Besiktas JK | |
| 21.11.2009 | D1 | Besiktas JK | 3-0 | Fenerbahçe SK |
Last 2 matches have been humdingers with both sides scoring 2 goals each.
LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 3rd - these 2 teams dropped points unexpectedly earlier this week. I saw the Besiktas match and they were really poor against Mersin in snowy conditions.
LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 3rd - these 2 teams dropped points unexpectedly earlier this week. I saw the Besiktas match and they were really poor against Mersin in snowy conditions.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Fenerbahce
RECENT HOME FORM - WDWDWWWWWWW - superb at home but I am a bit wary of these kinds of matches - have not played first or 3rd at home. Beat 4th and 7th 1-0.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDDWWWLWL - last 2 losses were away 3-2 v 8th and 3-1 v 17th which was a real shock.
GOAL TRENDS - 46% overs at home. last 6 home matches over 2.5 goals.Have failed to score in only 4 matches this season.
STREAKS - 7 match home winning streak. No defeat in 11 at home. Have scored in last 7 at home and last 7 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Besiktas
RECENT AWAY FORM - LWDWLWWDDWL - away defeats have come against 5th, 7th and 9th losing 4-2, 2-1 and 1-0
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWDDWWDWWWLL - last 2 losses both 1-0s against 9th and 12th. Surely there will not be another 1-0 for a 3rd consecutive match?Interestingly Besiktas at home drew 0-0 with 1st and 2-2 with 2nd and away beat 4th 1-0.
GOAL TRENDS - 46% overs away from home. 7 of last 10 matches under 2.5 goals.
STREAKS - 5 overall without a draw. Have conceded in last 5 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - where to start? Well 2nd v 3rd type matches I deem as "one offs" and so they can be unpredictable. Head to heads see 2 teams scoring 2 goals each in last 2 matches. Will this continue this afternoon? Or will Besiktas lose 1-0 for a 3rd consecutive match? Surely not? Over 2.5 goals is suggested from the head to heads if not recent goal trends. No doubting Fenerbahce are tough to beat at home and beat 4th and 7th 1-0 at home. Another I am afraid which is up in the air. Could be overs , or could be a 1-0!
FORM LAB
• -1.5 goals: There have been -1.5 goals in 10/17 Besiktas away matches and -2.5 goals in 14/19 Besiktas away matches. Fenerbahce have scored first in 9/10 home matches against top-six teams.TOP 3 INDICATORS
1) - Home clean sheet v all
2) - HT Home score 1-0 v all
3) - Home score first v Top 6
630pm - Porto v Setubal - 1.23 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 09.09.2011 | D1 | FC Porto | 3-0 | Vitória Setúbal | |
| 01.05.2011 | D1 | Vitória Setúbal | 0-4 | FC Porto | |
| 06.12.2010 | D1 | FC Porto | 1-0 | Vitória Setúbal | |
| 24.04.2010 | D1 | Vitória Setúbal | 2-5 | FC Porto | |
| 13.12.2009 | D1 | FC Porto | 2-0 | Vitória Setúbal | |
| 26.04.2009 | D1 | FC Porto | 2-0 | Vitória Setúbal |
Porto are 6 from 6 in head to heads
This is a Portugeuse League Cup match and Porto have already beaten Setabul his season at home 3-0. Odds suggest a replication of this.
This is a Portugeuse League Cup match and Porto have already beaten Setabul his season at home 3-0. Odds suggest a replication of this.
830pm - Benfica v Maritimo - 1.33 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 11.12.2011 | D1 | Marítimo | 0-1 | SL Benfica | |
| 02.12.2011 | Cup | Marítimo | 2-1 | SL Benfica | |
| 27.02.2011 | D1 | SL Benfica | 2-1 | Marítimo | |
| 02.01.2011 | LC | SL Benfica | 2-0 | Marítimo |
Another league cup game and Benfica have won 3 of last 4 head to heads and lost 2-1 away in another cup match against today's opponents.
Take your hint from the odds on offer today and last 2 head to heads at Benfica? Or chance another Maritimo upset in the Cup.
Take your hint from the odds on offer today and last 2 head to heads at Benfica? Or chance another Maritimo upset in the Cup.
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