Friday 30 September 2011

1/10

Midday - Cottbus v St Pauli - 2.62 away - St Pauli return to Bundesliga 2.
HEAD TO HEADS
19.03.2010 D2 Energie Cottbus 0-1 St. Pauli
25.10.2009 D2 St. Pauli 1-1 Energie Cottbus
16.03.2002 D1 Energie Cottbus 4-0 St. Pauli
20.10.2001 D1 St. Pauli 4-0 Energie Cottbus

LEAGUE POSITION - 9th v 4th

HOME TEAM - Cottbus

RECENT HOME FORM - WLWD - all matches would have been successful over 2.5 goal trades - the 2-0 saw a 22nd minute 2nd goal. Last draw 3-3 v Eintracht Frankfurt saw Cottbus 2-0 and 3-1 up.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWLWWDDLL - -all losses so far have come against current 3rd, 4th and 6th - just coincidence? Remember only 9 matches played. But if this is not coincidence then may be vulnerable to 3rd placed St Pauli.

GOAL TRENDS - -all matches bar 2 would have been successful over 2.5 goal trades. All matches bar one would have been successful over 1.5 goal bets.This season, COttbus have had 3 overs matches followed by 3 unders matches ending with 3 overs matches. They have failed to score in only 2 matches this season.

STREAKS - the inconsistency of late has seen streaks come in 2's WWDDLL. 2 without defeat at home.

AWAY TEAM - St PAuli

RECENT AWAY FORM - DWLW -- loss 1-0 to Brauchsweig.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WDWWWLWWL - only 1 draw this season - losses against current 5th and 10th. 5 wins in last 7 matches and their odds today suggest value?

GOAL TRENDS - 2 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals but 5 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals. HAve kept a clean sheet in all bar 2 matches and scored in all bar 1 this season - again it goes with a 1.5 goal trade. 3-2-2-0-4-2-2 scored by St PAuli in last 7 matches.

STREAKS -- 3 away without a draw, 7 overall without a draw.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - the odds suggest the market are unsure who will win. This suggests a neutral goals bet ( if indeed you want to get involved)-St Pauli have been consistent goal scorers and enhanced traders note if Cottbus score first. Perhaps 2.62 is enticing enough to trust St Pauli to score first? Remember though they are away from home.

1245pm -
Everton v Liverpool - 2.52 away
HEAD TO HEADS
16.01.2011 PR Liverpool FC 2-2 Everton FC
17.10.2010 PR Everton FC 2-0 Liverpool FC
06.02.2010 PR Liverpool FC 1-0 Everton FC
29.11.2009 PR Everton FC 0-2 Liverpool FC
04.02.2009 Cup Everton FC 1-0 AET Liverpool FC
25.01.2009 Cup Liverpool FC 1-1 Everton FC
Lots of personnel changes for both sides since the last head to head may make these irrelevant to today's match. Local derbies are often " one offs" where the best performers on the day take the spoils ( as opposed to the best performer of the season based on form.
LEAGUE POSITION - 11th v 5th. Everton have played 5 matches to Liverpool's 6. In fact if Everton win today they culd be around Liverpool's position in the market.

HOME TEAM - Everton

RECENT HOME FORM -LDW - a bit early in the season to get a real tag on Everton at home. 0-2 loss to QPR, 2-2 draw Villa ( when everton lead 1-0 and 2-1) and 3-1 win v Wigan

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWDWL - last loss v Man City. 68th and 89th minute goals Inconsistency at present from Everton.

GOAL TRENDS - last 2 matches over 2.5 goals saw 2 and 3 scored and Everton also conceded . Everton have conceded in all home matches. 4 of Everton's 6 goals have come in 2nd half.

STREAKS - conceded all home matches.

AWAY TEAM - LIverpool

RECENT AWAY FORM - win v Arsenal and losses v Stoke and Tottenham - Liverpool have conceded 6 goals in 2nd half. Expect 2nd half action today?

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DWWLLW - 1 win away and last 2 wins at home.3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, the exception v Stoke away hardly surprising.

GOAL TRENDS - as above re overs.Liverpool have conceded in 5/6 matches this season and failed to score in their 2 recent losses.

STREAKS - 3 away without a draw, have conceded in all of last 4 matches.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - I don't like derbies because we have the unexpected factor. There is nothing in the form which leads me in any one direction. Liverpool obviously have had the most positive changes in the transfer market, strengthening while Everton weakened. Note though that Everton's signings helped them to a win last time out, so perhaps these signings can have an impact today. Not a match at the top of my list I'm afraid.

230pm -
Dortmund v Augsburg - 1.27 home
HEAD TO HEADS - no head to heads suggest Augsburg are the newcomers.

LEAGUE POSITION - 8th v 16th after 7 matches.

HOME TEAM - Dortmund

RECENT HOME FORM - -WWL - beat Hamburg 3-1, Nurnberg 2-0, and lost 1-2 v Hertha Berlin

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WLWDLLW - 2 of the 3 losses have been away.

GOAL TRENDS - last 3 matches over 2.5 goals. All home matches over 1.5 goals. 2/3 matches at home over 2.5 goals. Dortmund have scored in all home matches. The last 4 Dortmund goals have all been scored after the hour mark. Signs of a lack of consistency which was so apparent last year.

STREAKS - 3 at home without a draw. Only 1 draw overall. Last 3 matches over 2.5 goals.

AWAY TEAM - AUGSBURG

RECENT AWAY FORM - DLD - draws were both score draws against Kaiserslautern and Hertha Berlin. Loss was 1-0 v Nurnberg

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DDLLLDD -no win and 2/3 draws were score draws
GOAL TRENDS - 2 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals. Have only kept one clean sheet and that was the last match.

STREAKS - 3 away without a win. 7 overall without a win.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - the market expects Dortmund to regain the winning thread against an Augsburg team without a win this season. Worse case I suspect will be a draw. It is still early in the season. Dortmund only lost by one goal in the sole loss at home. I expect them to continue scoring at home.

230pm -
Hoffenheim v B Munich - 1.53 away
HEAD TO HEADS
12.02.2011 D1 Bayern München 4-0 Hoffenheim
21.09.2010 D1 Hoffenheim 1-2 Bayern München
15.01.2010 D1 Bayern München 2-0 Hoffenheim
08.08.2009 D1 Hoffenheim 1-1 Bayern München
16.05.2009 D1 Hoffenheim 2-2 Bayern München
Bayern unbeaten in recent head to heads and have won the last 3 encounters. Note away both sides have scored and the scorelines far tighter than the home matches which saw Bayern win without conceding.
LEAGUE POSITION - 4th v 1st

HOME TEAM - Hoffenheim

RECENT HOME FORM - WLW - no draw at home. Wins against Dortmund and Wolfsburg - against Dortmund 1-0.1-2 loss v Werder Bremen.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWWLWWL - no draw yet for Hoffenheim.Losses against Hannover, Werder and FC Koln.Wins against Dortmund, Augsburg, Mainz,and Wolfsburg. How these equate with Bayern Munich is difficult to quantify.

GOAL TRENDS - last 2 home matches over 2.5 goals. Hoff have scored in all home matches. 3 of last 4 matches have been over 2.5 goals with last match a 2-0 (loss to Koln). Hoff have only failed to score in their last match.

STREAKS - no draw in 7, they have scored in last 3.

AWAY TEAM - Bayern Munich

RECENT AWAY FORM - WWW against Wolfsburg, Kaiserslautern and Schalke - clean sheets in all matches.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWWWWWW - - superb form and 6 clean sheets. 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals with the exception 0-2. Bayern have scored in both the first half and 2nd half in their last 5 matches.

GOAL TRENDS - as above - outstanding defensive performances recently. Can this run of clean sheets continue.

STREAKS - 6 without conceding.Have scored in last 6. No draw yet this season.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Another clean sheet for Bayern will mean another win for Bayern. We must see Gomez in the team. This is likely to be one of the toughest matches for Bayern this season. No draw yet for Hoffenheim or for Bayern is an angle in. A recent over 2.5 goals trend for both sides. In their current form, Bayern must be sided with, and if the clean sheets continue, of course Bayern will be the team to score first. If Hoff score first, enhanced bettors get ready.

3pm -
Aston Villa v Wigan - 1.69 home
HEAD TO HEADS
07.05.2011 PR Aston Villa 1-1 Wigan Athletic
25.01.2011 PR Wigan Athletic 1-2 Aston Villa
16.03.2010 PR Wigan Athletic 1-2 Aston Villa
15.08.2009 PR Aston Villa 0-2 Wigan Athletic
31.01.2009 PR Aston Villa 0-0 Wigan Athletic

LEAGUE POSITION 8th v 15th after 6 matches.

HOME TEAM - Aston Villa

RECENT HOME FORM - WDD - 3-1 v Blackburn. 0-0 draw v Wolves and 1-1 v Newcastle.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWDDDD - slight problem for Old 'Eck. 10 dropped points. Villa are priced today to end this draw sequence and I like looking for moments when sequences have a chance of ending. Last 3 matches score draws.

GOAL TRENDS - 3 of last 4 matches under 2.5 goals. Villa have scored and conceded in last 3.

STREAKS - no defeat in 5, 4 match draw streak. Last 3 matches are score draws.

AWAY TEAM - Wigan - it seems to me that Wigan are opposable against established sides.

RECENT AWAY FORM - DLL - draw 0-0 v Swansea. Lost 3-0 to Man City. Lost 3-1 v Everton.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DDWLLL - sole win was home win 2-0 v QPR and the losses v , yes you guessed it, 3 estabished Premier Leagues sides.

GOAL TRENDS - last 3 matches over 2.5 goals saw Wigan concede 3-3-2.

STREAKS - 3 match losing streak. 3 matches over 2.5 goals.4 without a draw.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - for me, and I said it earlier, as soon as Wigan hit an established Premier League side, they lose. And Villa have a 4 match draw sequence to end . Playing at home and 1.69, they are certainly capable of ending that draw streak. But the very fact they have had 3 score draws may signal vulnerability as regards conceding at least one goal.
So where do you stand? Villa to end that draw sequence? Then lay the draw, back Villa? Or Wigan to end a 3 match losing streak against established Permiership sides ( and they have conceded 3-3-2)

3pm -
Blackburn v Man City - 1.61 away - City always backable in current form and over 2.5 goals seems a natural knee jerk reaction.
HEAD TO HEADS
25.04.2011 PR Blackburn Rovers 0-1 Manchester City
11.09.2010 PR Manchester City 1-1 Blackburn Rovers
11.01.2010 PR Manchester City 4-1 Blackburn Rovers
15.08.2009 PR Blackburn Rovers 0-2 Manchester City
02.05.2009 PR Manchester City 3-1 Blackburn Rovers
A new look City side and a forward line quite devastating at present. So are the head to heads really relevant?

LEAGUE POSITION - 18th v 2nd after 6 matches.

HOME TEAM - Blackburn

RECENT HOME FORM - LLW - 1-2 loss v Wolves, 0-1 loss v Everton ( very unlucky 90th minute penalty), and 4-3 win against an Arsenal team contributing 2 goals to Blackburn's cause.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLLDWL - draw v Fulham and win v Arse.

GOAL TRENDS - Blackburn have conceded in all matches this season - not good news against Man City. Last 2 matches over 2.5 goals. Blackburn have failed to score in only 1 match this season.

STREAKS - 3 at home without a draw, have conceded in all 3 home matches and 6 in a row.

AWAY TEAM - MAN CITY

RECENT AWAY FORM - WWD - and the draw 2-2 v Fulham saw Man City 0-2 up. City were 0-2 and 1-3 against Bolton before the final score line 3-2. 1-5 against Spurs was awesome.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWWDW - as explained, the draw should have been a comfortable City win.

GOAL TRENDS - 5 of last 6 matches over 2.5 goals with the exception a 2-0 home win v Everton. City have conceded 2 twice away from home. Have kept a clean sheet in 2 of last 3 matches.

STREAKS - 6 match unbeaten run. Man City have scored 2 minimum in all matches this season.Aguero on 8 and Dzeko on 6 - class acts.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Blackburn have lost last 2 against City at home without scoring. I would like to see the City side before deciding. I want to see a strong side. City likely to score against a Blackburn side who have conceded in all matches this season. Expect overs again?

3pm -
C Palace v West Ham - 2.16 away - the last Landan darby innit West Ham was involved in was away at Millwall and that finished 0-0, cor blimey luv a duck etc etc.
HEAD TO HEADS
no recent relevant head to heads
LEAGUE POSITION 9th v 4th after 9 matches

HOME TEAM - Palace

RECENT HOME FORM - WWDL - wins v Burnley 2-0, 2-1 v Coventry, 1-1 v Blackpool, loss 0-1 v Boro. Win against City was very lucky - 2 90 minute goals

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWWWDLLLW - last 2 losses 1-0's with 2 65 minute goals. 1-3 win away to Brighton last time was a good result .

GOAL TRENDS - 4/9 matches over 2.5 goals only . have failed to score in 2 of last 3 matches.

STREAKS - have conceded in last 5 matches. No draw in 4.

AWAY TEAM - West Ham - Jekyll and Hyde - West Ham have been great away from home.

RECENT AWAY FORM - WWWD - the draw was against Millwall 0-0 and today is another London Derby. Only conceded 1 goal away from home. 3 clean sheets for the Hamsters.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWWDWWDWL - losses were home losses 0-1. General perception that West Ham will not lose away. Last 3 matches have seen West Ham fail to score twice. West Ham have kept a clean sheet in 2 of last 3, and only conceded an 89th minute goal at home v Ipswich. West Ham have scored first in 3 of 4 away matches and scored 4 goals in 2 matches.

GOAL TRENDS - 2.25 scored on average away and 0.25 conceded on average away

STREAKS - 4 away without defeat.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - another London derby and that has to be factored into any decision regarding getting involved. From a strictly form perspective, I would look for West Ham to score first. Incongruent goal trends but the West Ham one looks stronger. Have only conceded 1 in 4 matches.

3pm -
Man Utd v Norwich - 1.18 home - the last 2 1.18 teams recently were Barca away ( 0-5) and Spuds v Shamrock yesterday ( 3-1 to Spuds after going a goal down) so the pattern is for a 3+ goal win.
HEAD TO HEADS - no recent relevant head to heads

LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 9th

HOME TEAM - Man Utd

RECENT HOME FORM - WWW scoring 3-8-3. Rooney has scored 5 of those goals -check if he is injured

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWWWD - latest draw 1-1 away at Stoke after United opened the scoring.

GOAL TRENDS - all matches over 1.5 goals. 5/6 over 2.5 goals All home matches over 2.5 goals.
United have scored in all matches this season and have kept a clean sheet in only 2 matches.

STREAKS - unbeaten this season. 3 home wins . Have scored 3 or more in all home matches . Scored 2 or more in all matches bar the last match.

AWAY TEAM - Norwich.

RECENT AWAY FORM - DLW - 1-1 draw v Wigan, 3-1 loss v Norwich and 1-2 draw v Bolton. The Chelsea match should serve as a pointer to today's match.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DDLLWW - wins against Bolton and Sunderland both 2-1 . 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals. Have conceded in all matches this season. Have failed to score in only one match.

GOAL TRENDS - 5/6 matches over 1.5 goals. 3/4 matches over 2.5 goals. Sole match against established top 4 over 3.5 goals.

STREAKS - inconsistent DDLLWW.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - 1.18 again and should be 3 goals scored by United minimum. What chance they feck up another home match ( they were 2-0 up against Basle) Team news important re the forward line. Shrek out I think and he has had a superb season. A strong team will green light the goals bet - over 3.5, 4.5 goals.

3pm -
Rangers v Hibernian - 1.23 - rock solid defensively at present - will the clean sheets continue?
HEAD TO HEADS
26.01.2011 PR Hibernian FC 0-2 Glasgow Rangers
10.11.2010 PR Glasgow Rangers 0-3 Hibernian FC
22.08.2010 PR Hibernian FC 0-3 Glasgow Rangers
25.04.2010 PR Hibernian FC 0-1 Glasgow Rangers
14.02.2010 PR Glasgow Rangers 3-0 Hibernian FC
27.12.2009 PR Hibernian FC 1-4 Glasgow Rangers
For a team on a great defensive run, Rangers are meeting a team who have not scored against them in the last 5 head to heads

LEAGUE POSITION 1st v 10th after 9 matches.

HOME TEAM - Rangers

RECENT HOME FORM - DWWW - 1-1 draw v Hearts corrected with a 2-0 v Aberdeen, 4-2 v Celtic, and 2-0 v Kilmarnock.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWWWWWWWW - can't say better than that, and beating Celtic too.

GOAL TRENDS - 7/8 matches clean sheets - the only recent concessions against Celtic were I suppose not a surprise. 4 2-0's and a 1-1 somewhat scupper the over 2.5 goals figures. 2 of last 3 over 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - 8 match winning streak. Have scored in all 9 matches. And if we eliminate Old Firm, then it's 7 clean sheets on the trot for Rangers. Rangers have scored in the 2nd half in all of their matches this season.They have scored 7 in the 2nd half of their last 3 matches.

AWAY TEAM - HIBS

RECENT AWAY FORM - WLLD - 0-1 win v Inverness. Draw was 2-2- v Dunfermline ( and Rangers just beat Dunfermline 4-0)

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWLLLDDDW - lost 2-0 to Celtic and that could be the crucial scoreline to take out of today.

GOAL TRENDS - last 3 matches over 2.5 goals.2-2, 3-3 and 3-2. 5 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals. The 2 exceptions were 2-0 and 0-0.

STREAKS - unbeaten in 4. no defeat in 4 overall.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - the normal rule is that Old Firm results have to be taken in isolation.2-0 loss for Hibs v Celtic should augur well for Rangers. Another clean sheet? Hibs have scored 2-3-3 last 3 matches but again not against an Old Firm side. Faith in the superb clean sheet run of Rangers to at least replicate Celtic?

3pm -
Southampton v Watford - 1.61 home
HEAD TO HEADS
07.04.2009 LCh Watford FC 2-2 Southampton
18.10.2008 LCh Southampton 0-3 Watford FC
01.01.2008 LCh Southampton 0-3 Watford FC
no recent relevant head to heads
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 15th after 9 matches

HOME TEAM - Southampton

RECENT HOME FORM - WWWW -scoring 3-1-3-4 - has Le Tiss returned? - Confidence will be high consequently and that confidence is reflected in the odds. Southampton have scored 8 of their goals in the first half.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWWLWWDL - losses against likely Championship contenders in Leicester and Cardiff. Not really a feeling that Watford can be lumped in with those 2. Against bottom 12, it is 6 wins and a 1-1 draw for Soton. Watford are in that bottom 12.

GOAL TRENDS - 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. 3 of 4 matches over 3.5 goals. Southampton in fine goalscoring form. 1.6 though does not necessarily reflect 3/4 goals but you never know.Southampton have scored in all matches this season and have only kept a clean sheet in 2 .

STREAKS - 4 match winning streak at home. Scored in all 9 matches.

AWAY TEAM - Watford

RECENT AWAY FORM - DDWD - decent away unbeaten form although the questionable strength of opponents when compared to today's. In fact all opponents in current bottom 11 of league so puts it in some perspective. Watford have scored first in 3 of the 4 away matches they have scored in.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DLLDDWDLW - wins against Reading and most recently beat Millwall 2-1 at home, coming from 0-1 down. Losses against Derby, West Ham and Forest. And in 2 of these teams at least, we have possible Championship contenders ( much like Southampton?)

GOAL TRENDS - Only 1 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, Last 3 away matches under 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - 4 away without defeat.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - we must acknowledge that Watford are unbeaten this season but the teams they have played have been bottom 11 sides, and against bottom 12, Southampton have won 6 and drawn 1 1-1. It suggests that Watford have not yetmet any of the major players this season away from home. When they have met them at home ( West Ham and Forest) they have lost.

3pm -
Sunderland v West Brom - 2.34 home
HEAD TO HEADS
09.04.2011 PR Sunderland AFC 2-3 West Bromwich
21.08.2010 PR West Bromwich 1-0 Sunderland AFC
25.04.2009 PR West Bromwich 3-0 Sunderland AFC

LEAGUE POSITION - -14th v 19th

HOME TEAM - Sunderland

RECENT HOME FORM - LLW - 4-0 win over Stoke unexpected by me at least. "Tit" us Bramble probably out at present will weaken the defence.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DLDLWL - losing in turn. Lack of consistency.Sole win v Sunderland and the new signings played their part.

GOAL TRENDS - first 3 matches under 2.5 goals and last 3 matches now over 2.5 goals. The 2 losses were 2-1 and Sunderland scored 89th and 90th minute consolations in those matches.

STREAKS - 3 without a draw at home.

AWAY TEAM - West Brom

RECENT AWAY FORM - LWL - win was 1-0 v Norwich. Lost 3-0 to Swansea and 2-1 v Chelsea after scoring first. Have only scored 2 away

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLLWLD - draw was 0-0 v Fulham.

GOAL TRENDS - have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches. Not scored more than 1 in a match this season. Have kept a clean sheet in 2 of last 3 matches.

STREAKS - 3 without a draw away and no goal scored in 2.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - so what do we make of the sudden Sunderland ability to score 4 goals in one game - that was unexpected. April saw a humdinger. Another match for me at the bottom of the pile.Both sides have only won 1 match. Now if West Brom can only score a single goal maximum this season in a match, they become vulnerable. If they do score first, there is a chance they will lose that lead - best case therefore today a 0-1 away win, 1-1 draw . West Brom have failed to score in 3 of last 4. Where are the goals going to come from against a Sunderland side with a heavy defensive bent?

3pm -
Wolves v Newcastle - 2.56 home
HEAD TO HEADS
02.04.2011 PR Newcastle Utd 4-1 Wolverhampton
28.08.2010 PR Wolverhampton 1-1 Newcastle Utd
09.05.2004 PR Newcastle Utd 1-1 Wolverhampton
last 2 head to heads of relevance see both sides scoring.
LEAGUE POSITION 12th v 4th

HOME TEAM - Wolves

RECENT HOME FORM WLL - win 2-0 against Fulham, then 2 losses 0-2 v Spuds and 0-3 v QPR. Concern at a lack of goals recently.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDLLL - losses against Spuds, QPR and Liverpool - worrying run for Wolves. Longest losing streaks for Wolves last season was 4 matches so scope for another loss before a likely positive result.

GOAL TRENDS - last 2 matches over 2.5 goals. Have failed to score in 3 of last 4 matches. Have conceded 2-3-2 in last 3 matches. Sudden leaky defence. Interesting that wins were against current 4th and 3rd from bottom.

STREAKS - 3 at home without a draw. No goal scored in 2 at home.

AWAY TEAM - Newcastle

RECENT AWAY FORM - WDD - win 0-1 v Sunderland, 0-0 draw with QPR and 1-1 with Villa

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DWWDDW - unbeaten this season and last match saw a hatrick from Ba. 2 of 3 wins have come at home.

GOAL TRENDS -only 2 over 2.5 goals matches this season, both at home.


STREAKS - 3 away without defeat - 6 overall without defeat.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Wolves have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches. Check team news re injured strikers? Add to that, no overs matches away for Newcastle and we might have a tight match this afternoon. Another I am afraid where there are simply no strong angles in. The standout stat is the fact that Newcastle are unbeaten this season, and the longer they remain unbeaten , the more confident they will become. This Ba could be a problem for Wolves this afternoon. A lack of confidence in Wolves at present. Will they score today at home? 2 matches is quite a streak at home without scoring. THis must end soon or playing at home will be a negative and not a positive. All wins for Newcastle have come against current bottom 7 and 2 0-0 draws against teams on either side of Wolves in the league. Yes only 6 matches gone so these patterns are weak.

330pm -
Dinamo Moscow v FK Krasnodar - 1.32 home
HEAD TO HEADS
29.05.2011 D1 FK Krasnodar 0-1 Dynamo Moscow
26.01.2011 CF Dynamo Moscow 1-0 FK Krasnodar

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

445pm -
FC Basel v Servette - 1.33 home
HEAD TO HEADS
10.09.2011 D1 Servette FC 0-4 FC Basel
20.11.2010 Cup Servette FC 1-1/p.3-4 FC Basel
18.10.2004 D1 FC Basel
Servette FC

LEAGUE POSITION - 4th v 6th after 10 matches in a league of only 10 teams.

HOME TEAM - Basel

RECENT HOME FORM - WDLWW - Loss v Zurich.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWDDLLWWWD - losses against top away and 8th. scored 2-4-6 in the 3 match winning streak. all draws score draws.

GOAL TRENDS - 7 of last 8 matches over 2.5 goals. Last 4 home matches over 2.5 goals

STREAKS - 2 match winning streak at home, 3 without a draw.

AWAY TEAM - Servette

RECENT AWAY FORM - WDDWD - unbeaten away from home.Draws against 7th and 10th both 0-0.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWDWDLWLLD - inconsistent form overall. Last 3 losses at home. Far better away than at home.

GOAL TRENDS - 60/40 overs overall. Have failed to score in last 3 , 2 of which were home matches. 7-4-2-2-0 the total goals in Servette's last 5 matches. a gradual drop.

STREAKS - 5 without defeat away from home. No goal scored in 3.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - no goal scored in 3 ( albeit 2 at home) may make Servette vulnerable to a Basel team who have scored in all matches in the league. They will be extra buoyed with the 3-3 v Man Utd ( or will that affect them tiredness wise?) and should score first. Over 2.5 goals has a chance here but might be over reliant on Basel scoring? A league of only 10 sides always presents problems regarding consistency of form.

5pm -
Fenerbahce v Istanbul BB - 1.45 home
HEAD TO HEADS
01.05.2011 D1 Fenerbahçe SK 2-0 İstanbul BB
27.11.2010 D1 İstanbul BB 0-1 Fenerbahçe SK
28.02.2010 D1 İstanbul BB 2-1 Fenerbahçe SK
20.09.2009 D1 Fenerbahçe SK 1-0 İstanbul BB
08.02.2009 D1 İstanbul BB 2-0 Fenerbahçe SK
Clean sheets for Fener in last 2 head to heads.
LEAGUE POSITION 2nd v 1st after 4 matches

HOME TEAM - -Fenerbahce

RECENT HOME FORM - WD - 1-0 win and 1-1 draw fenerbahce were unbeaten at home in the league last season.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDW - 2 1-0's and a 1-1 might hint at sparcity up front? But them fener beat Gazientepspor 1-3 away.Fener have kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 1 in each of the other 2 matches.

GOAL TRENDS - Fener have scored in all 4 matches. Only 1 over 2.5 goals match.

STREAKS - unbeaten this season , albeit 4 matches. have scored 1 in both home matches.

AWAY TEAM - Istanbul BB

RECENT AWAY FORM WW - both without conceding a goal and beat Trabzonspor 0-1 which is a good guide for Fenerabahce as Trab and Fener were only separated from the league title last season on goal difference.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWDW - identical form to Fener.Istanbul have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 4 matches this season which signals a mighty tussle this afternoon and to be honest it is quite a surprise to see Fenerabahce at such short odds! ( fener did keep a clean sheet in last 2 head to heads

GOAL TRENDS - have scored in all matches this season. All matches under 2.5 goals. Clean sheets in 3 of 4 matches.

STREAKS - unbeaten in 4 matches.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - there is nothing to suggest that the Fenerbahce price of 1.45 is worth backing this afternoon. It seems Istanbul are defensive bulls. Under 2.5 goals looks obvious here and perhaps a back of 0-0 for as long as you dare might pay off as these 2 fight not to lose their unbeaten streaks.

5pm -
Villarreal v Zaragoza - 1.67home
HEAD TO HEADS
18.04.2011 D1 Villarreal CF 1-0 Real Zaragoza
27.11.2010 D1 Real Zaragoza 0-3 Villarreal CF
11.08.2010 CF Real Zaragoza 2-1 Villarreal CF
15.05.2010 D1 Real Zaragoza 3-3 Villarreal CF
24.01.2010 D1 Villarreal CF 4-2 Real Zaragoza

LEAGUE POSITION - 14th v 15th

HOME TEAM - Villareal

RECENT HOME FORM - DW - 2-2 v Sevilla and 2-0 v Mallorca. Villareal have scored 2 goals in 2 home matches. Rossi and Nilmar the key forwards for Villareal and if they are missing, then Villa will be weakened.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LDLWD - both losses away to Barca and Granada , the latter a good old fashioned park the bus and pray for a 1-0.

GOAL TRENDS - last 3 matches under 2.5 goals. Have conceded in all bar 1 match this season.

STREAKS - unbeaten at home. Scored 2 in each home match.

AWAY TEAM - Zaragoza

RECENT AWAY FORM - DL - loss was 4-3 v Betis. A hint at goalscoring problems -2 of those goals came in the 77th and 79 minutes, and in the match before , one goal came in 90th minute.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDWLD - sequentially a win expected . Losses against Real Madrid and Betis. Both draws 0-0's

GOAL TRENDS - 2 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - no win in 2.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - it is difficult to get any angles in after only 4 matches. Instinct says that the Villareal forward line is threatening enough to get something here - Rossi and Nilmar must play. General trend to late goals for Zaragoza hint that perhaps Villareal can score first?

7pm -
Gent v Oud-Heverlee Leuven - 1.32 home
HEAD TO HEADS
11.11.2008 Cup KAA Gent 3-0 OH Leuven

LEAGUE POSITION - 3rd v 9th

HOME TEAM - Gent

RECENT HOME FORM - LWWL - losses v Cercle Brugge and Anderlecht both 1-0. Currently 2nd and 4th in the league.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LDWWWWLW - 5 wins in last 6 strong form. Loss was 1-0

GOAL TRENDS - 5 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals. Only failed to score in those 2 0-1 losses.

STREAKS - 4 without a draw at home, 6 without a draw overall. Have conceded in all bar 1 match this season

AWAY TEAM - OH Leuven

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLWL - no draw away - losses against 1st, 8th and 12th currently and win v 13th of 16.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLLLWWLD - 2 of the wins at home against 2nd and 6th.

GOAL TRENDS - Only 1 clean sheet this season.

STREAKS - no draw away

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - no draw away hints at a home win . 3 losses in 4 away hints at a home win. Sole win away v 13th of 16. Losses at home for Gent against 1st and 3rd and only by a single goal. Should have too much for Leuven today and the chance of another over 2.5 goals? Gent only failed to score in the 0-1 losses.

7pm -
Valencia v Granada - 1.36 home
HEAD TO HEADS - no head to heads.

LEAGUE POSITION 7th v 17th

HOME TEAM -

RECENT HOME FORM - Valencia - WWD - 2-2 draw v Barca should instil some confidence as newbies arrive at the Mestalla.1-0 and 2-1 up against Barca. Beat Ath Madrid 1-0 too so solid recent home form.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWDL - loss 1-0 away at Sevilla.

GOAL TRENDS - only 2 over 2.5 goals matches happened to be at home. Have failed to score in only 1 match, v Sevilla last time away.

STREAKS - no win in 2 but tough teams. Unbeaten at home. Scored 2 goals at home against 2 of the newcomers last year.

AWAY TEAM - Granada

RECENT AWAY FORM - LL - have failed to score away. Lost 4-0 v Malaga and 1-0 v Sociedad.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLWLD - a single over 2.5 goals match signals Granada's tactics this evening. Keep it tight and get the prayer mat out. Worked at home v Villareal with a 1-0.

GOAL TRENDS - only 1 over 2.5 goals. Have failed to score in 3 of their 5 matches this season. have kept a clean sheet in 1 match at home v Villareal.

STREAKS - no goal scored in 2 away.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - for me Granada will be hard to beat at home, but likely vulnerable away. They could be typical of newbies who keep things tight and then eventually succumb. Chance for valencia to score 2 minimum as they did against 2 newbies last season at home ( winning those matches) - 0-0 a possibility if Granada have one of those defensive displays. But a team that can lead 1-0 and 2-0 against Barca at home can surely get something from this match.

745pm -
Inter v Napoli - 2.08home
HEAD TO HEADS
15.05.2011 D1 SSC Napoli 1-1 Inter Milan
26.01.2011 Cup SSC Napoli 0-0/p.4-5 Inter Milan
06.01.2011 D1 Inter Milan 3-1 SSC Napoli
14.02.2010 D1 SSC Napoli 0-0 Inter Milan
23.09.2009 D1 Inter Milan 3-1 SSC Napoli
26.04.2009 D1 SSC Napoli 1-0 Inter Milan

LEAGUE POSITION - 16th v 4th

HOME TEAM - Inter - 2 wins out of 2 since the new manager has been installed , scoring 3 against Bologna and CSKA Moscow away. This ends the horrendous run with the old manager at the start of the season. We must therefore take this into account in the form analysis. Things have changed with a key position ( manager)

RECENT HOME FORM - 0-0 v Roma.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LDLW - won 1-3 away v Bologna under new manager.

GOAL TRENDS 3/4 matches over 2.5 goals but 2 of those were under old manager. Have conceded in 3 of 4 matches this season.

STREAKS - n/a

AWAY TEAM - Napoli

RECENT AWAY FORM - WL - 1-3 v Cesena and lost 1-0 to Chievo verona via a 72nd minute goal

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWLD - inconclusive only 4 matches in.Finished 3rd last season but lost away to all of the top 5 last season conceding 3-3-3 against top 4.

GOAL TRENDS - have failed to score in last 2 matches.

STREAKS n/a

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - games where there have been significant personnel changes are difficult to weigh up, but it is clear than since Ranieri came in to manage Inter, they have scored 3 against CSKA away and 3 against Bologna away. This is the first home match under new management and Inter should be confident of getting something against a Napoli team who failed to beat any of the top 4 last season home or away, and have failed to score in last 2. 2.08 again retells us that the market makers are finding this difficult. Speculators will hope the ranieri influence continues.

830pm -
Benfica v Pacos Ferreira - 1.18 home
HEAD TO HEADS
23.04.2011 LC SL Benfica 2-1 Paços de Ferreira
21.03.2011 D1 Paços de Ferreira 1-5 SL Benfica
29.10.2010 D1 SL Benfica 2-0 Paços de Ferreira
07.03.2010 D1 SL Benfica 3-1 Paços de Ferreira
05.10.2009 D1 Paços de Ferreira 1-3 SL Benfica
15.02.2009 D1 SL Benfica 3-2 Paços de Ferreira

LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 13th

HOME TEAM - Benfica

RECENT HOME FORM - WWW - 3-1 v Feirense, 2-1 v Guimareas , 4-1 v Academica - all over 2.5 goals and all conceding 1 goal.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWWWWD - both draws 2-2 v gil Vicente and Porto. The latter draw tells you where Benfica are this season. They were superb against Man Utd from what I saw and are likely to be a good attacking team.

GOAL TRENDS - 5/6 matches over 2.5 goals this season, the exception was a 0-2 win. Over 2.5 goals in all home matches. Have conceded in all home matches.Scored in all matches this season. 2-3-2-2-4-2 scored in all matches this season. A hint that 2 is the minimum that Benfica will score , especially at home.

STREAKS - have conceded in all but 1, scored in all matches. unbeaten in 6 matches, 3 match winning streak at home.

AWAY TEAM - Pacos Ferreira

RECENT AWAY FORM - LDL - 2-1 v Setabul, 0-0 v Feirense, 1-0 v Nacional. Feirense no surprise as they held even Porto to a 0-0.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWDLLL - win was 2-1 v Uniao. Draw was the aforementioned 0-0. All losses have been by 1 goal 2-1, 2-3, 1-0, 1-2. Slight warning for Benfica today ( but Pacos have not played any of the big teams just yet)

GOAL TRENDS -4/6 matches over 2.5 goals. Have only kept a clean sheet 0-0 away to Feirense.

STREAKS - no win in 4, 3 match losing streak.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - yes, Pacos have not played the big boys yet, but their losses have all been by a single goal so enhanced bettors hope that Pacos can score first, for it will be Xmas come early. Yet again another 1.18 -so far 1.18's have seen 0-5 away win, 3-1 home win, and watch out for the United scoreline at home to Norwich earlier in the afternoon.That is 1.18 too.

9pm -
Malaga v Getafe - 1.59 home
HEAD TO HEADS
13.02.2011 D1 Málaga CF 2-2 Getafe CF
23.09.2010 D1 Getafe CF 0-2 Málaga CF
08.05.2010 D1 Getafe CF 2-1 Málaga CF
17.01.2010 D1 Málaga CF 1-0 Getafe CF
13.01.2010 Cup Getafe CF 5-1 Málaga CF
07.01.2010 Cup Málaga CF 2-1 Getafe CF

LEAGUE POSITION - 6th v 16th

HOME TEAM - Malaga

RECENT HOME FORM - WW - without conceding 4-0 v granada I suppose expected and 1-0 v Bilbao. Cazorla must play for Malaga if they are to have any chance. Has scored the majority of goals so far albeit only a few matches.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWWWD - loss v Sevilla but since then have set themselves up as tough to beat. 4-0, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0. Malaga have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 matches.

GOAL TRENDS - clean sheet in last 4, last 3 matches under 1.5 goals. Have failed to score in only 1 match this season.

STREAKS - unbeaten in 4. 4 match clean sheets.

AWAY TEAM - Getafe

RECENT AWAY FORM - LL - 4-2 v Real Madrid and 1-0 v Espanyol. 3 of Real's goals in the 60th+ minute and the 1-0 Espanyol goal a 90th minute goal.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DLLLW - last 3 matches have seen 2 1-0 losses and a 1-0 win.

GOAL TRENDS - Only 1 over 2.5 goals match this season. Have failed to score in 2 of last 3. Have only kept a clean sheet in last match.

STREAKS - no draw in 4.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - the form lines, although we must acknowledge the limited number of matches we are working on, point to a negative goal trend.Clean sheet in last 4 for Malaga, last 3 matches under 1.5 goals. Last 3 Getafe matches have seen 2 1-0 losses and a 1-0 win. Getafe have failed to score in 2 of last 3.
This unders form is in contrast to the head to heads. Which do you think is a more accurate reflection of how this match is likely to play out?


30/9

CAmbuur, Derry and Mundana the 3 for the shortlist today. I would chance must wins Derry.


This is the last one a day message.

I hope you have found the analysis of some use. I have tried to over deliver on analysis. In fact the football analysis you have been receiving is the analysis I share with my In play profit generator readers so it is indepth and takes me hours per day to do.

Thanks anyway for your custom and apologies for not delivering as I would have liked.

5pm - Astra Ploiesti v Sportul Studentesc - 1.55 home - no heads to heads indicate that one of these sides is newcomers to the top flight.
LWWWDDWW for Astra overall .
At home LWDW for Astra so far - have scored 2 goals in 2 matches and failed to score in 2 matches.
Sportul are the bottom side after 8 matches
WDLLLDLD - they have scored in 5 of these 8 matches.
Away from home WLLL - win 1-2 with an 83rd minute goal against a 10 man team who are currently 17th of 18
Not much for me to garner from this apart from to say that Sportul are struggling in the limited league matches they have played. In fact, in all competitions their form looks like this - DLLLLLDLLD

6pm -
Bursaspor v Genclerbirligi - 1.56 home
Sat 21/05/11 SÜL Bursaspor 1 - 0 Gençlerbirliği View events More info
Sat 18/12/10 SÜL Gençlerbirliği 1 - 5 Bursaspor View events More info
Sun 11/04/10 SÜL Gençlerbirliği 0 - 0 Bursaspor
More info
Fri 06/11/09 SÜL Bursaspor 1 - 2 Gençlerbirliği View events More info
Sun 08/02/09 SÜL Gençlerbirliği 1 - 2 Bursaspor
Tight matches when Gengler visit! 1-5 away win obviously anomolous.
At home, WL for Burs beating Kayserispor 3-0 and losing 1-2 v Besiktas.
Overall WWLL - losses at home to Besiktas and away v Sivasspor.
All 4 matches over 2.5 goals. No draws just yet.
Only 4 losses last season at home, and 3 against 2nd 4th and 5th ( Besiktas beat them at home last season too).
3 losses and 4 draws for Gencler away last year to top 7.
This seasonLD -3-2 loss v Samsunspor and 0-0 v eskirspor.
Overall LWDD - last 2 matches under 2.5 goals.
2 match draw streak.
Only 4 matches this season so not much to go on, but if we look at last season, the only defeats at home for Bursapor generally came against the top 5. They should not lose this evening, but this league is just getting going.
7pm -
Cambuur v Emmen - 1.28 home
HEAD TO HEADS
Mon 14/02/11 EED Emmen 0 - 4 Cambuur View events More info
Fri 20/08/10 EED Cambuur 2 - 1 Emmen View events More info
Fri 26/02/10 EED Emmen 2 - 4 Cambuur View events More info
Fri 20/11/09 EED Cambuur 1 - 0 Emmen View events More info
Fri 06/02/09 EED Emmen 3 - 2 Cambuur
Generally over 2.5 goals apart from one home match .
LEAGUE POSITION - 5th v 18th after 7 matches

HOME TEAM - CAMBUUR

RECENT HOME FORM - LWD - 0-1 loss v current league leaders. Other 2 matches over 2.5 goals see Cambuur score 3 and 2

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WLDWWLD - last 4 matches over 2.5 goals and Cambuur have scored and conceded in each of last 5 matches.

GOAL TRENDS - as above. Cambuur have only failed to score in one match.

STREAKS - no discernible streaks bar the last 4 over 2.5 goals

AWAY TEAM - EMMEN

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLL conceded 3-4-3

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDLLLLL - yet to win. Have conceded 3,1,4,3,2,3,4

GOAL TRENDS - all matches over 1.5 goals, 5/7 over 2.5 goals 4 of last 5 over 2.5 goals, all aways over 2.5 goals and conceded 3 minimum. Have failed to score in their last 3 matches.

STREAKS - 3 match losing streak away, 5 overall losing streak.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - this seems to be about a continuation of losing form for Emmen. When both sides are showing over 2.5 goals in a league renowned for goals, then we can be hopeful for overs.


7pm -
Heracles v De Graafschap - 1.49 home
HEAD TO HEADS
23.04.2011 D1 Heracles Almelo 2-0 De Graafschap
23.10.2010 D1 De Graafschap 1-1 Heracles Almelo
07.03.2009 D1 De Graafschap 1-0 Heracles Almelo
nothing in the head to heads to really reflect such dominance by Heracles in the market.
LEAGUE POSITION - 11th v 16th after 7 matches

HOME TEAM - Heracles

RECENT HOME FORM - WDL - draw against Feyenoord and loss against Ajax 2-3 but 2nd goal scored in 89th minute to add a gloss to a comfortable Ajax win.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWDLLDD - only one win this season so far 2-1 against Breda after going a goal down. All draws score draws

GOAL TRENDS - all draws score draws.All matches over 1.5 goals and 5/7 over 2.5 goals.Heracles have scored and conceded in all matches this season.

STREAKS - have scored and conceded in last 3 matches.

AWAY TEAM - de graaf

RECENT AWAY FORM - DDL - both draws score draws and loss 4-0 v Feyenoord.


RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDDLWLL - win against Nijmegen 1-0.

GOAL TRENDS - have conceded in all bar the 1-0 win mentioned above.6/7 matches over 1.5 goals.5/7 matches over 2.5 goals. 2/3 away matches over 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - have conceded in all 3 away matches.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - head to heads tell us little really. 5/7 of both sides' matches this season are over 2.5 goals. 13/14 total matches over 1.5 goals. Both teams have had a single win this season which makes me rather reluctant to trust the short priced market leaders. Neutral bet obvious I suppose is a match that does not appeal on the eve of a full European Coupon.


7pm -
Zwolle v Telstar - 1.33 home
HEAD TO HEADS
Fri 01/04/11 EED Telstar 0 - 0 Zwolle
More info
Fri 17/09/10 EED Zwolle 3 - 0 Telstar View events More info
Fri 12/02/10 EED Zwolle 1 - 0 Telstar View events More info
Fri 06/11/09 EED Telstar 2 - 3 Zwolle View events More info
Fri 03/04/09 EED Telstar 0 - 2 Zwolle
Clean sweep bar the last 0-0 for Zwolle. Not quite a pattern of overs or unders here and again nothing in the head to heads to justify 1.33
LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 14th and a win takes Zwolle provisionally top.

HOME TEAM - zwolle

RECENT HOME FORM - WWW - 2-1, 2-0, 3-1 scorelines consistent .

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWWWLWD - sole loss 3-1 away to Helmond Sport

GOAL TRENDS - 6/7 over 2.5 goals, the sole exception was 2-0. Zwolle have scored in all matches this season.

STREAKS - 3 match winning streak at home.

AWAY TEAM - TElstar

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLL 1-0, 3-1, 3-2

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDLWWLD -

GOAL TRENDS - 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. Have scored in last 5 matches.HAve interestingly lost away to 1st and 3rd, conceding 3 goals in each match - why is this interesting? Zwolle are 2nd ( yes I know after only 7 matches played)


STREAKS - 3 match losing streak away.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - the quote for Zwolle is based on recent form and not historical head to heads. It hints at an ability for Zwolle to score 2 again at home.


745pm -
Aberdeen v Dunfermline - 1.91 home - worth looking at as Dunfermline are newcomers to the top flight.
06.02.2011 Cup Aberdeen FC 1-0 Dunfermline
21.07.2010 CF Dunfermline 1-0 Aberdeen FC
18.03.2009 Cup Aberdeen FC 0-0/p.2-4 Dunfermline
07.03.2009 Cup Dunfermline 1-1 Aberdeen FC
Cup matches the only head to heads and perhaps not ideal . If accurate, they point to 2 well matches sides likely to fight out a tight match, but I must reiterate this is not competitive league form.
DLWD for Aberdeen at home.They have scored 2 in each of last 2 home matches, coming back from 2-0 down most recently to draw 2-2 with Kilmarnock.Win was 2-1 v Inverness. Loss was 0-1 v Celtic and a 74th minute goal.
DLLLWLDDL for Aberdeen overall. Only the one win. Have lost 5 and drawn 1 0-0 against top 6. But against bottom 6, they have drawn 2 matches , scoring 2 goals in 2 matches and won 1 match. Dunfermline are in the bottom half. I know we do not have many games to go on but it seems a pattern at present?
Only 1 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals. Again bottom 6 at home = goals for Aberdeen.
Worryingly, Aberdeen have failed to score in 7 of 9 matches this season and have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
WWL for Dunfermline away from home so far. 2 0-1 wins and a tight 3-2 loss v Kilmarnock
DDWWLLDL overall for Dunfermline - again those wins were 0-1's and away from home.
Last 4 matches over 2.5 goals but they have played 1st and 3rd in league and 7th ( Kilmarnock)
No draws away.
It looks like a goal glut this evening? Dunfermline's wins away have been 0-1 which might hint at good defense? Only 1 of last 4 matches for Aberdeen over 2.5 goals. My concern is that Aberdeen seem to be able to score 2 against bottom 6 sides , of which Dunfermline is. This somewhat scuppers the unders bet?
Tough match to read with 2 of the lesser lights in the Premiership. A hint perhaps that Dunfermline will struggle ( 3 losses in last 4)
745pm -
Cork City v Finn Harps - 1.28 home - Irish 2nd division match not worth consideration.
745pm -
Derry v Bray - 1.25 home - this is on soccerstats so worth doing.
15.07.2011 PR Bray Wanderers 1-2 Derry City
20.05.2011 PR Derry City 1-1 Bray Wanderers
01.04.2011 PR Bray Wanderers 1-2 Derry City
28.06.2010 Cup Bray Wanderers 3-2 Derry City
04.06.2010 Cup Derry City 1-1 Bray Wanderers
30.10.2009 PR Derry City 3-0 Bray Wanderers
Derry have not lost a league match in head to heads.
3rd v 7th in a league of only 10.
A win takes Derry top in a very tight top 3. A huge motivation and home support might just make the bet stronger.
WWDWWDWDWWD - unbeaten at home this season apart from 0-1 on first day.
Have already played Bray this season twice as you see in head to heads above. Derry scored first in both those matches and the 1-2 looks closer than it was. Bray scored in the 92nd minute.
DDWDDWWWDWWWDWD - 5 of last 7 draws have been score draws.
Only 2 of last 6 matches over 2.5 goals. After keeping 4 clean sheets on the trot, Derry have conceded in all of last 3 matches. Derry have scored in 10 of last 11.
14 at home without defeat, 16 overall without defeat.
WWLWDLLL for Bray away recently -wins have come against bottom 3 and it's 4 losses and a draw against the top 5 away.
LLLLWLLWDLLLWL - only a single draw overall recently - if we assume Derry will not lose this evening, then can we negate the draw based on Bray's recent form?
Last 12 matches over 2.5 goals.Only 2 cleansheets in last 14 and they were against bottom 3.
Have failed to score in 2 of the last 4 matches.
Only 1 draw in last 17 matches and that was a 2-2 which indicates to traders there is some leeway with laying the draw today.
That old maxim " must wins normally do win" -this is a must win for Derry with the top 3 in the league so tight. A win takes them top today . They tend not to lose at home, and Bray have only had one draw in their last 17 - does this make the home win an automatic selection?


Again wrong decision yesterday, as Spurs won 3-1 and Press office finished 6th. This is the last one a day message. One a day is a concept I still believe in. Alas, having to choose 1 bet a day without the flexibility of following the live market and changing your mind in reaction to circumstances has been the downfall of the system. It worked for me in my trial. Why? Well I was choosing bets for me , not for others. So the odds did not matter for me.And I used trading a lot.
Remember, 7 x 1.14 shots will double the bank per week. And these 1.14 shots are more realisable in the live betting environment.

I hope you have found the analysis of some use. I have tried to over deliver on analysis. In fact the football analysis you have been receiving is the analysis I share with my In play profit generator readers so it is indepth and takes me hours per day to do.

Thanks anyway for your custom and apologies for not delivering as I would have liked.

5pm - Astra Ploiesti v Sportul Studentesc - 1.55 home - no heads to heads indicate that one of these sides is newcomers to the top flight.
LWWWDDWW for Astra overall .
At home LWDW for Astra so far - have scored 2 goals in 2 matches and failed to score in 2 matches.
Sportul are the bottom side after 8 matches
WDLLLDLD - they have scored in 5 of these 8 matches.
Away from home WLLL - win 1-2 with an 83rd minute goal against a 10 man team who are currently 17th of 18
Not much for me to garner from this apart from to say that Sportul are struggling in the limited league matches they have played. In fact, in all competitions their form looks like this - DLLLLLDLLD

6pm -
Bursaspor v Genclerbirligi - 1.56 home
Sat 21/05/11 SÜL Bursaspor 1 - 0 Gençlerbirliği View events More info
Sat 18/12/10 SÜL Gençlerbirliği 1 - 5 Bursaspor View events More info
Sun 11/04/10 SÜL Gençlerbirliği 0 - 0 Bursaspor
More info
Fri 06/11/09 SÜL Bursaspor 1 - 2 Gençlerbirliği View events More info
Sun 08/02/09 SÜL Gençlerbirliği 1 - 2 Bursaspor
Tight matches when Gengler visit! 1-5 away win obviously anomolous.
At home, WL for Burs beating Kayserispor 3-0 and losing 1-2 v Besiktas.
Overall WWLL - losses at home to Besiktas and away v Sivasspor.
All 4 matches over 2.5 goals. No draws just yet.
Only 4 losses last season at home, and 3 against 2nd 4th and 5th ( Besiktas beat them at home last season too).
3 losses and 4 draws for Gencler away last year to top 7.
This seasonLD -3-2 loss v Samsunspor and 0-0 v eskirspor.
Overall LWDD - last 2 matches under 2.5 goals.
2 match draw streak.
Only 4 matches this season so not much to go on, but if we look at last season, the only defeats at home for Bursapor generally came against the top 5. They should not lose this evening, but this league is just getting going.
7pm -
Cambuur v Emmen - 1.28 home
HEAD TO HEADS
Mon 14/02/11 EED Emmen 0 - 4 Cambuur View events More info
Fri 20/08/10 EED Cambuur 2 - 1 Emmen View events More info
Fri 26/02/10 EED Emmen 2 - 4 Cambuur View events More info
Fri 20/11/09 EED Cambuur 1 - 0 Emmen View events More info
Fri 06/02/09 EED Emmen 3 - 2 Cambuur
Generally over 2.5 goals apart from one home match .
LEAGUE POSITION - 5th v 18th after 7 matches

HOME TEAM - CAMBUUR

RECENT HOME FORM - LWD - 0-1 loss v current league leaders. Other 2 matches over 2.5 goals see Cambuur score 3 and 2

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WLDWWLD - last 4 matches over 2.5 goals and Cambuur have scored and conceded in each of last 5 matches.

GOAL TRENDS - as above. Cambuur have only failed to score in one match.

STREAKS - no discernible streaks bar the last 4 over 2.5 goals

AWAY TEAM - EMMEN

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLL conceded 3-4-3

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDLLLLL - yet to win. Have conceded 3,1,4,3,2,3,4

GOAL TRENDS - all matches over 1.5 goals, 5/7 over 2.5 goals 4 of last 5 over 2.5 goals, all aways over 2.5 goals and conceded 3 minimum. Have failed to score in their last 3 matches.

STREAKS - 3 match losing streak away, 5 overall losing streak.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - this seems to be about a continuation of losing form for Emmen. When both sides are showing over 2.5 goals in a league renowned for goals, then we can be hopeful for overs.


7pm -
Heracles v De Graafschap - 1.49 home
HEAD TO HEADS
23.04.2011 D1 Heracles Almelo 2-0 De Graafschap
23.10.2010 D1 De Graafschap 1-1 Heracles Almelo
07.03.2009 D1 De Graafschap 1-0 Heracles Almelo
nothing in the head to heads to really reflect such dominance by Heracles in the market.
LEAGUE POSITION - 11th v 16th after 7 matches

HOME TEAM - Heracles

RECENT HOME FORM - WDL - draw against Feyenoord and loss against Ajax 2-3 but 2nd goal scored in 89th minute to add a gloss to a comfortable Ajax win.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWDLLDD - only one win this season so far 2-1 against Breda after going a goal down. All draws score draws

GOAL TRENDS - all draws score draws.All matches over 1.5 goals and 5/7 over 2.5 goals.Heracles have scored and conceded in all matches this season.

STREAKS - have scored and conceded in last 3 matches.

AWAY TEAM - de graaf

RECENT AWAY FORM - DDL - both draws score draws and loss 4-0 v Feyenoord.


RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDDLWLL - win against Nijmegen 1-0.

GOAL TRENDS - have conceded in all bar the 1-0 win mentioned above.6/7 matches over 1.5 goals.5/7 matches over 2.5 goals. 2/3 away matches over 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - have conceded in all 3 away matches.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - head to heads tell us little really. 5/7 of both sides' matches this season are over 2.5 goals. 13/14 total matches over 1.5 goals. Both teams have had a single win this season which makes me rather reluctant to trust the short priced market leaders. Neutral bet obvious I suppose is a match that does not appeal on the eve of a full European Coupon.


7pm -
Zwolle v Telstar - 1.33 home
HEAD TO HEADS
Fri 01/04/11 EED Telstar 0 - 0 Zwolle
More info
Fri 17/09/10 EED Zwolle 3 - 0 Telstar View events More info
Fri 12/02/10 EED Zwolle 1 - 0 Telstar View events More info
Fri 06/11/09 EED Telstar 2 - 3 Zwolle View events More info
Fri 03/04/09 EED Telstar 0 - 2 Zwolle
Clean sweep bar the last 0-0 for Zwolle. Not quite a pattern of overs or unders here and again nothing in the head to heads to justify 1.33
LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 14th and a win takes Zwolle provisionally top.

HOME TEAM - zwolle

RECENT HOME FORM - WWW - 2-1, 2-0, 3-1 scorelines consistent .

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWWWLWD - sole loss 3-1 away to Helmond Sport

GOAL TRENDS - 6/7 over 2.5 goals, the sole exception was 2-0. Zwolle have scored in all matches this season.

STREAKS - 3 match winning streak at home.

AWAY TEAM - TElstar

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLL 1-0, 3-1, 3-2

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDLWWLD -

GOAL TRENDS - 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. Have scored in last 5 matches.HAve interestingly lost away to 1st and 3rd, conceding 3 goals in each match - why is this interesting? Zwolle are 2nd ( yes I know after only 7 matches played)


STREAKS - 3 match losing streak away.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - the quote for Zwolle is based on recent form and not historical head to heads. It hints at an ability for Zwolle to score 2 again at home.


745pm -
Aberdeen v Dunfermline - 1.91 home - worth looking at as Dunfermline are newcomers to the top flight.
06.02.2011 Cup Aberdeen FC 1-0 Dunfermline
21.07.2010 CF Dunfermline 1-0 Aberdeen FC
18.03.2009 Cup Aberdeen FC 0-0/p.2-4 Dunfermline
07.03.2009 Cup Dunfermline 1-1 Aberdeen FC
Cup matches the only head to heads and perhaps not ideal . If accurate, they point to 2 well matches sides likely to fight out a tight match, but I must reiterate this is not competitive league form.
DLWD for Aberdeen at home.They have scored 2 in each of last 2 home matches, coming back from 2-0 down most recently to draw 2-2 with Kilmarnock.Win was 2-1 v Inverness. Loss was 0-1 v Celtic and a 74th minute goal.
DLLLWLDDL for Aberdeen overall. Only the one win. Have lost 5 and drawn 1 0-0 against top 6. But against bottom 6, they have drawn 2 matches , scoring 2 goals in 2 matches and won 1 match. Dunfermline are in the bottom half. I know we do not have many games to go on but it seems a pattern at present?
Only 1 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals. Again bottom 6 at home = goals for Aberdeen.
Worryingly, Aberdeen have failed to score in 7 of 9 matches this season and have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
WWL for Dunfermline away from home so far. 2 0-1 wins and a tight 3-2 loss v Kilmarnock
DDWWLLDL overall for Dunfermline - again those wins were 0-1's and away from home.
Last 4 matches over 2.5 goals but they have played 1st and 3rd in league and 7th ( Kilmarnock)
No draws away.
It looks like a goal glut this evening? Dunfermline's wins away have been 0-1 which might hint at good defense? Only 1 of last 4 matches for Aberdeen over 2.5 goals. My concern is that Aberdeen seem to be able to score 2 against bottom 6 sides , of which Dunfermline is. This somewhat scuppers the unders bet?
Tough match to read with 2 of the lesser lights in the Premiership. A hint perhaps that Dunfermline will struggle ( 3 losses in last 4)
745pm -
Cork City v Finn Harps - 1.28 home - Irish 2nd division match not worth consideration.
745pm -
Derry v Bray - 1.25 home - this is on soccerstats so worth doing.
15.07.2011 PR Bray Wanderers 1-2 Derry City
20.05.2011 PR Derry City 1-1 Bray Wanderers
01.04.2011 PR Bray Wanderers 1-2 Derry City
28.06.2010 Cup Bray Wanderers 3-2 Derry City
04.06.2010 Cup Derry City 1-1 Bray Wanderers
30.10.2009 PR Derry City 3-0 Bray Wanderers
Derry have not lost a league match in head to heads.
3rd v 7th in a league of only 10.
A win takes Derry top in a very tight top 3. A huge motivation and home support might just make the bet stronger.
WWDWWDWDWWD - unbeaten at home this season apart from 0-1 on first day.
Have already played Bray this season twice as you see in head to heads above. Derry scored first in both those matches and the 1-2 looks closer than it was. Bray scored in the 92nd minute.
DDWDDWWWDWWWDWD - 5 of last 7 draws have been score draws.
Only 2 of last 6 matches over 2.5 goals. After keeping 4 clean sheets on the trot, Derry have conceded in all of last 3 matches. Derry have scored in 10 of last 11.
14 at home without defeat, 16 overall without defeat.
WWLWDLLL for Bray away recently -wins have come against bottom 3 and it's 4 losses and a draw against the top 5 away.
LLLLWLLWDLLLWL - only a single draw overall recently - if we assume Derry will not lose this evening, then can we negate the draw based on Bray's recent form?
Last 12 matches over 2.5 goals.Only 2 cleansheets in last 14 and they were against bottom 3.
Have failed to score in 2 of the last 4 matches.
Only 1 draw in last 17 matches and that was a 2-2 which indicates to traders there is some leeway with laying the draw today.
That old maxim " must wins normally do win" -this is a must win for Derry with the top 3 in the league so tight. A win takes them top today . They tend not to lose at home, and Bray have only had one draw in their last 17 - does this make the home win an automatic selection?

255 ASCOT
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Mundana, 11/4 Classic Colori, 7/1 Primaeval, 8/1 Truism, 10/1 Vainglory, 16/1 Benandonner, 20/1 Invincible Soul.

7 runners and 3 places makes this an ideal probability race for place only betting.

535 FONTWELL

BETTING FORECAST: Evs Cock Of The Rock, 4/1 Viviani, 9/2 Miss Kalifa, 5/1 Inner Steel, 14/1 Doctor Ric, 20/1 Le Grand Chene, 50/1 Manolete, 100/1 Indared.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Viviani can improve for this stiffer test of stamina but he'll do well to beat COCK OF THE ROCK, who found only a Paul Nicholls-trained favourite too hot to handle at Worcester.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones]

Maiden hurdle sees Choc Thornton on the favourite. 8 runners and 3 places make Cock of the Rock of interest.

450 HEXHAM


BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Maggio, 7/1 Cape Dutch, 10/1 Kingsdale Orion, 10/1 Monkton Vale, 12/1 Agricultural, 14/1 Manahej, 25/1 Media Stars, 33/1 Sweet Vera, 40/1 Without Equal, 50/1 About Thyne, 50/1 Ever A Gent, 100/1 My Friend George.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Cape Dutch and Monkton Vale should both be able to improve on thier encouraging hurdles debuts but 127-rated MAGGIO showed quite useful form on a number of occasions last season and is expected to open his account today. [Chris Wilson]

Huge price gapper here worthy of attention. Good each way race too.

SHORTLIST
7pm - Cambuur v Emmen - 1.28 home - losing runs always end but Emmen are not priced to end their run this evening.
745pm - Derry v Bray - 1.25 home - a win takes them top. Safer may be over 2.5 goals.
255 ASCOT - Mundana - 7 runners and 3 places.