Saturday 30 April 2011

1/5

Well done Frankel. I was also very pleased with my Aston Villa WBA analysis which was spot on. I am disappointed I did not put up Rangers - a team scoring 10 in their last 2 against Motherwell available at 1.53 - the gift of the season!!

I hope I do not regret getting involved in a top v bottom(ish) affair today but PSV look primed to beat a Vitesse side in poor away form , unable to beat top 10.

*****ONE A DAY 130pm - PSV v Vitesse - BACK PSV IN THE MATCH ODDS AT 1.2*****


12pm - Liverpool v Newcastle - 1.49 home

HEAD TO HEADS

Sat11/12/10PRLNewcastle United3 - 1LiverpoolView eventsMore info
Sun03/05/09PRLLiverpool3 - 0Newcastle UnitedView eventsMore info
Sun28/12/08PRLNewcastle United1 - 5LiverpoolView eventsMore info
Sat08/03/08PRLLiverpool3 - 0Newcastle United

Overs anyone?

LEAGUE POSITION 6th v 11th - - chance for 5th for Liverpool and even 4th? Maybe a little too far.Newcastle on 41 points I suggest are clear of relegation. 41 sounds safe.

HOME TEAM LIVERPOOL

LIVERPOOLRECENT HOME FORM - WWLWDWWDWWW - Liverpool have scored, 3,3,5 in their last 3 home matches. No complacency here and I think Anfield expects. Last loss was a 1-0 Wolves smash and grab. Have beaten all teams, 8th-13th inclusive ( Newcastle are 12th) at home


LIVERPOOL RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWWDLWWLWDW - most recent losses have come away.

LIVERPOOL GOAL TRENDS - 59% overs at home.Score an average of 2 per home match. Liverpool have conceded only 2 goals in their last 6 home matches. Have scored 3,3,5 in last 3. 5 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals. 3 clean sheets in last 5 matches. Liverpool have scored in last 16 matches.

LIVERPOOL STREAKS - 8 without defeat at home. 3 match home winning streak. 3 without defeat overall.

AWAY TEAM NEWCASTLE

NEWCASTLE RECENT AWAY FORM - LWDLDWLLD - no win in last 3. Wins away recently against Birmingham and Wigan. Have beaten Everton and Arsenal away 1-0 of the top 7 sides, but lost the other matches . Have only won 2 away agaisnt top 13 ( the 2 1-0's)

NEWCASTLE RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDDWDLLWLDD - recent wins against Brum and Wolves and now Newcastle are safe, there seems little urgency to "bust a gut" ( and there are plenty of guts on Tyneside.)

NEWCASTLE GOAL TRENDS - 35% over 2.5 goals away.Have not scored in 4 of last 5 aways. Last 3 matches under 2.5 goals. 6 of last 7 matches have seen the Toon concede. They have failed to score in 3 of last 5.

NEWCASTLE STREAKS - no win in 3. Current drawing streak of 2.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS -instinct tells me that Newcastle are layable and Liverpool are priced about right. That magic 41 points should see Newcastle safe for another season, and they have little to play for. 3,3,5 scored by Liverpool in their last 3 home matches. Unbeaten in last 8 at home, drawing 2. Head to heads point to goals but goal trends not emphatic. Great stat - Liverpool have conceded only 2 in their last 6 home matches so correct score traders opt for a Liverpool win to nil? This is further enhanced by Newcastle not scoring in 4 of last 5 away matches. Newcastle have only won 2 away against top 13, and if you think they will spoil the party, then 1-0 cover bet on Newc win.


1245pm - Celtic v Dundee Utd - 1.3 home

HEAD TO HEADS

Sun13/02/11PRLDundee United1 - 3CelticView eventsMore info
Sat20/11/10PRLCeltic1 - 1Dundee UnitedView eventsMore info
Sun17/10/10PRLDundee United1 - 2CelticView eventsMore info
Sun25/04/10PRLDundee United0 - 2CelticView eventsMore info
Sat20/02/10PRLCeltic1 - 0Dundee UnitedView eventsMore info
Sun22/11/09PRLDundee United2 - 1CelticView eventsMore info
Sat12/09/09PRLCeltic1 - 1Dundee UnitedView eventsMore info
Tue12/05/09PRLCeltic2 - 1Dundee UnitedView eventsMore info
Sun22/03/09PRLDundee United2 - 2Celtic

Historically tight at Celtic with 2 1-1's. Not what the Bhoys want today after Rangers won so emphatically.

LEAGUE POSITION 2nd v 4th and as I say Dundee UNited likely to be pains in the behind today for Celtic.

HOME TEAM - CELTIC

CELTIC RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWWWWW - perfect for the end of the season.

CELTIC RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWWWWLWWWWWD - loss was infamous game against Motherwell away and draw against Rangers.Have drawn 1-1 already at home with Dundee United and that scoreline has appeared in 2 of last 3 head to heads at Celtic. Celtic have scored first in last 2 home head to heads.

CELTIC GOAL TRENDS - 59% over 2.5 goals at home. Celtic have scored in all home matches so if Dundee United take the lead, expect a reply. And note enhanced bettors you have the option to lay first goalscorers as well as back hot favs at better odds.Only 2 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals.Celtic have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 matches and in 13 of their last 17 matches - same kind of stat as rangers yesterday.Celtic have only failed to score 3 times all season.

CELTIC STREAKS - 8 match home winning streak, 12 at home without defeat.6 overall without defeat.Have not conceded in last 4 matches.

AWAY TEAM - DUNDEE UNITED

DUNDEE UNITED RECENT AWAY FORM - DDDDLDDWWL - impressive recent away win against Rangers 2-3 followed by a loss to Motherwell and an atonement by Rangers with a 4-0 which hints that 3-2 was anomolous.

DUNDEE UNITED RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWWWWLWLW - one of recent losses was the aforementioned against Rangers. This is ideally what Celtic should be capable of. Impressive record all the same but Old Firm has to be separated. Only win was that 2-3 v Rangers when they replied with a 4-0 home win.

DUNDEE UNITED GOAL TRENDS - 41% over 2.5 goals 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, the exception a 2-0.Have conceded in 4 of last 5.Have scored in 10 of last 11 matches. 3 over 2.5 goals and a 1-1 against Old Firm this season.

DUNDEE UNITED STREAKS - no draw in 3 away, and no draw in 10 so a lay the draw obvious -and this could negate the 1-1 that has been appearing when Dundee come to Celtic of late?

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - 8 match home winning streak and have won 3 of last 4 head to heads. That ominous 1-1 appears when Dundee United are visitors. Over 1.5 goals then? All matches bar one against old Firm is over 2.5 goals.

130pm - AZ Alkmaar v De Graafschap - 1.32 home

HEAD TO HEADS

Wed27/10/10EREDe Graafschap2 - 1AZView eventsMore info
Sat24/01/09EREAZ2 - 0De GraafschapView eventsMore info
Sun19/10/08EREDe Graafschap0 - 2AZView eventsMore info
Sat22/03/08EREAZ0 - 0De Graafschap

2009 and 2010 most relevant head to heads see at least 2 goals in each match.

LEAGUE POSITION - 4th v 15th - match matters more to away side I would argue than a side 9 points off 3rd place. De Graaf are 6 points off 3rd from bottom, a comfortable enough gap but more required.

HOME TEAM AZ

AZ RECENT HOME FORM - WDDWLWWDW - loss against PSV, recent draws all score draws 2-2 twice and 1-1.Only losses at home against 3rd and 5th augurs well for opposing De Graaf in some way.

AZ RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLWWLWWWDWL - shock loss away to bottom recently part of a poor run away to bottom 4 so not wholly a shock. 2 losses before that were against 2nd and 3rd.

AZ GOAL TRENDS - 69% over 2.5 goals at home. Overs will cover any potential shocks again!.Last 2 matches over 2.5 goals and 9 of last 12 matches over 2,5 goals so a reasonable trend there.Have conceded in 7 of last 8 matches.Have scored in all of last 6 matches.

AZ STREAKS - no defeat in 4 at home.

AWAY TEAM DE GRAF

DE GRAF RECENT AWAY FORM - WLLWLLDLDL - both recent wins 1-0's against bottom side and 10th and those were the only away wins all season. Have lost against top 3 without conceding but are AZ top 3 as they are a class apart and looking at the points gap I don't think AZ fit with Twente, PSV and Ajax. So look at next scorelines , both away draws De Graaf have not won against top 9.

DE GRAF RECENT OVERALL FORM - WDLDLDWWLLDDL - 2 wins recently were at home against 6th and bottom side.

DE GRAF GOAL TRENDS - 31% over 2.5 goals away from home because score an average 0.5 per away match. HAve failed to score in 62% of away matches so back AZ and the 0-0? Only 3 of the last 18 matches over 2.5 goals.

DE GRAF STREAKS - 6 away without a win, 5 overall.3 away matches without scoring.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - AZ only losses against 3rd and 5th should augur well today against 4th from bottom. Question whether rest of season matches are dead rubbers for AZ as I doubt they will break into top 3. As we saw with Blackpool v Stoke yesterday, one team had nothing to play for and their lack of motivation skewed an obvious goals trade.

Mixed message - 69% over 2.5 goals at home v a side 31% overs away, failing to score in 6 out of every 10 away matches and 15 of last 18 matches under 2.5 goals. I like to see CONGRUENCY with my stats and trends and there are no GOALS congruencies. De Graaf look layable and , as they have not scored in last 3 aways, perhaps back AZ and 0-0 cover?

QUESTIONABLE AZ MOTIVATION makes this match a bottom of the lister. DEAD RUBBERS - BEWARE AT THIS PART OF THE SEASON.

130pm - PSV v Vitesse - 1.22 home

HEAD TO HEADS

Wed27/10/10EREVitesse0 - 2PSVView eventsMore info
Sun31/01/10EREVitesse0 - 0PSVMore info
Sat31/10/09EREPSV1 - 0VitesseView eventsMore info
Sat21/03/09EREPSV2 - 0Vitesse

PSV should not lose this match - 2 wins in the home Head to Heads.

LEAGUE POSITION 3rd v 14th - PSV have 65 points and league leaders are on 68 so it's wide open at the top. Vitesse are on the same points as De Graaf and you would suspect are safe but a win will ensure it.

HOME TEAM PSV

PSV RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWLWDWD - recent home loss was 1-0 against ADO and recent draw 2-2 required a 90th minute PSV winner.Against bottom 7 at home, PSV have won all matches convincingly scoring 3,4,6,4,3,2

PSV RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWLWWDWDWLDWL - inconsistent and may scupper the title push? 2 of the recent losses have come away.

PSV GOAL TRENDS - 69% over 2.5 goals at home.Average 2.93 goals at home. 31% clean sheets at home. Scored a superb 52 goals in 2nd half. I have said it before that if PSV are 0-0 half time, then back them to score first 2nd half ( or lay the draw) Only 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals but 2 others were 2-0's .PSV have scored 47 and conceded 14 at home.

PSV STREAKS - 4 at home without defeat.

AWAY TEAM

VITESSE RECENT AWAY FORM - DLDLLLLLL - just what the PSV doctor ordered in the run in to the title. A poor away side.Against top 11, Vitesse have lost the lot , conceding 1,4,3,4,1,4,4,6,4,2. Those 1-0's a slight worry but emphatically over 2.5 goals in majority .Only 2 wins away against 2nd from bottom and 3rd from bottom.

VITESSE RECENT OVERALL FORM - WDLWLWDLWLWL - the wins you can surmise are home wins.

VITESSE GOAL TRENDS - 56% over 2.5 goals away In direct contrast to PSV, Vitesse have conceded 37 goals in the 2nd half.4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, goals totals in losses away to top 11 are 1,6,4,5,1,5,6,7,4,3. Ties in with the 1.22 guote.

VITESSE STREAKS - 9 away without a win.5 away without a draw.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - expectation that PSV will at least replicate the 2-0 away win last time. This is MUST WIN against "would be nice if we won". Motivation should tell here. Vitesse comprehensively beaten away overall.8 of the 10 matches over 2.5 goals, 7 were over 3.5 goals, 5 over 4.5 goals and 3 over 5.5 goals. Big chance for over 3.5 goals I would hope ( but acknowledge head to heads have been nowhere near)

Add to this the fact that PSV have won all matches convincingly against bottom 8 scoring 3,4,6,4,3,2

130pm - Twente v Willem II - 1.11 home

HEAD TO HEADS

Wed27/10/10EREWillem II1 - 3TwenteView eventsMore info
Sun21/02/10ERETwente1 - 0Willem IIView eventsMore info
Sat28/11/09EREWillem II1 - 3TwenteView eventsMore info
Sat14/03/09EREWillem II0 - 2Twente

LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 18th - a real top v bottom and Willem pulled off a shock 2-1 win over AZ last time out. They have nothing to lose as they are down and any more points will keep them bottom. Twente have Ajax and PSV breathing down their necks. PSV likely to win so Twente must win.

HOME TEAM - TWENTE

TWENTE RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWDWWWD - both draws 1-1 and needed Twente to come from behind ( enhanced bettors note) Last one most unconvincing requiring an 85th minute penalty. Last 4 home games have seen Twente score in 80+ minute so again traders note they will fight to the end.Against bottom 4, 2-1, 2-1, 2-0 wins not comprehensive but winning. 1.11 today suggests hugely comprehensive home win with 4+ goals.

TWENTE RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDWDLWWWWDDW - cannot afford those 1-1 draws at all ended a good winning run.

TWENTE GOAL TRENDS - 56% over 2.5 goals at home. Twente have hit 4 or 5 on 3 occasions at home and they can do it!44% home matches over 2.5 goals Scored a massive 31 goals in the last 1/2 hour of matches. 4 of 5 matches against bottom 3 were over 2.5 goals. Twente have scored in every match since 25th September 2010. Only 3 of last 11 matches over 2.5 goals.

TWENTE STREAKS - 9 at home without defeat, 7 overall.

AWAY TEAM - WILLEM

WILLEM RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLLLLDL - draw was 0-0 against 2nd bottom. HAve not win away from home.

WILLEM RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLDLWLLDLLLW - wins all at home, shock against AZ, came from 2-0 down against Heerenveen.Have lost away to top 4, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0

WILLEM GOAL TRENDS - 78% overall over 2.5 goals ultra consistent - have failed to score in 50% of away matches.Have conceded 58 in the 2nd half.13 of last 15 matches over 2.5 goals.Have kept a clean sheet in only 3 matches all season.Have scored in 13 of last 15 matches.

WILLEM STREAKS - 16 away without a win, 4 overall without a draw.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - it is to Willem and Twente's match odds price that we should take our cues. Over 2.5 goals obvious, speculators can go over 3.5, 4.5 goals.

2pm - AC Milan v Bologna - 1.24 home

HEAD TO HEADS

Sun12/12/10SEABologna0 - 3MilanView eventsMore info
Sun07/02/10SEABologna0 - 0MilanMore info
Sun20/09/09SEAMilan1 - 0BolognaView eventsMore info
Sun25/01/09SEABologna1 - 4Milan

Only 1 recent meeting at Milan was 1-0. Indecisive goalswise from head to heads.

LEAGUE POSITION 1st v 12th. Inter won with a last gasp goal last night to keep the pressure on and Milan can return an 8 point gap with a win. Bologna nothing to play for at all

HOME TEAM - AC MILAN

AC RECENT HOME FORM - DWDWWDWW - 4 wins in last 5 at home.Tend to beat teams around Bologna's in the league.

AC RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDDWWWWDLWWWW -

AC GOAL TRENDS - 59% over 2.5 goals at home. Keep a clean sheet in 59% of home matches. 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals. Have kept a clean sheet in 3 of last 4. Have failed to score in only 4 matches all season. HAve scored 4,3,1,3,3, in last 5 home matches. 6 clean sheets at home in last 7 matches.

AC STREAKS - 8 without defeat at home. 2 match home winning streak, 4 overall.

AWAY TEAM

BOLOGNA RECENT AWAY FORM - DWLDLWWLL - recent wins away against Lecce and Juve against top 4 away have lost 4-1, 4-1, 3-1

BOLOGNA RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLWDWDLLLL - 4 match losing streak perfect for Milan. Conceded 3,2,2,2 in those 4 losses.

BOLOGNA GOAL TRENDS - 41% over 2.5 goals away Score an average 1 goal away per match.5 of last 6 under 2.5 goals but last 3 matches 2-0 losses. Have conceded in last 5 matches. Have failed to score in last 3 matches.

BOLOGNA STREAKS - 5 away without a draw, 5 away overall without a win.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Milan have kept 6 clean sheets in last 7 home matches and Bologna have failed to score in last 3 surely puts the ball in Milan's court. Not a must win but an ought to win to keep pressure on Inter. Inter have averaged about 3 per game in last 5 home matches. 2-0, 3-0 correct score for the speculators? I am worried about pressure producing an erroneous result at this stage of the season.

2pm - Catania v Cagliari - 1.4 home

HEAD TO HEADS

Sun12/12/10SEACagliari3 - 0CataniaView eventsMore info
Sun07/03/10SEACagliari2 - 2CataniaView eventsMore info
Sun18/10/09SEACatania2 - 1CagliariView eventsMore info
Sun05/04/09SEACagliari1 - 0Catania

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM CATANIA

CATANIA RECENT HOME FORM

CATANIA RECENT FORM OVERALL

CATANIA GOAL TRENDS

CATANIA STREAKS

AWAY TEAM

CALGLIARI RECENT AWAY FORM

CALGLIARI RECENT OVERALL FORM

CALGLIARI GOAL TRENDS

CAGLIARI STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

3pm - FC Copenhagen v SonderjyskE - 1.43 home

HEAD TO HEADS

Sun14/11/10SUPSønderjyskE3 - 3KøbenhavnView eventsMore info
Sun18/07/10SUPSønderjyskE1 - 3KøbenhavnView eventsMore info
Sun16/05/10SUPKøbenhavn3 - 1SønderjyskEView eventsMore info
Sun21/03/10SUPSønderjyskE0 - 2KøbenhavnView eventsMore info
Thu29/10/09LANSønderjyskE5 - 0KøbenhavnView eventsMore info
Sun09/08/09SUPSønderjyskE0 - 1KøbenhavnView eventsMore info
Wed08/04/09SUPSønderjyskE1 - 2Kø

general trend recently to over 2.5 goals will cover another potential draw/loss


LEAGUE POSITION 1st v 9th and runaway leaders performed again last week.

HOME TEAM

COPENHAGEN RECENT HOME FORM - have won 10 on the trot at home.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWLWWDWWWW - already wrapped up title and coming to last 3 home matches.

GOAL TRENDS - 64% overs at home. Have scored in all home matches. Clean sheets in 50% home matches. 4 of last 6 matches over 2.5 goals. 7 of last 8 home matches over 2.5 goals bar last match 2-0 home win. Have scored in all bar one match this season.

STREAKS - 14 at home without defeat, 10 match home winning streak. 7 without defeat overall.

AWAY TEAM

RECENT AWAY FORM - LDWLDDL - have beaten 2nd and bottom side away. Tend to keep it quite tight away.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DDWLWDLDLL - wins at home to 4th and away to bottom.

GOAL TRENDS - 29% over 2.5 goals down largely to scoring an average 0.78 away. 9 of last 10 matches unders and Copenhagen took a while into the 2nd half to score last home match. Only 2 clean sheets in last 15 matches,.Have failed to score in 4 of last 5 matches.

STREAKS - 4 without a win, 5 overall.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - as we come to the end of the season Copenhagen should become a no go area for bettors as they have already won the title and these remaining matches are meaningless. That said, they have posted 6 wins and a draw in their last 7, and produced over 2.5 goals in 7 of last 8 matches. Today they play a side who have not scored in 4 of last 5 and thus Copenhagen become perhaps another bettable proposition, although due warning re the fact this is meaningless match.

4pm - Marseille v Auxerre - 1.45 home

HEAD TO HEADS

Wed19/01/11CDLAuxerre0 - 2Olympique Mars…View eventsMore info
Sat11/12/10LI1Auxerre1 - 1Olympique Mars…View eventsMore info
Fri30/04/10LI1Auxerre0 - 0Olympique Mars…More info
Wed23/12/09LI1Olympique Mars…0 - 2AuxerreView eventsMore info
Sat10/01/09LI1Auxerre0 - 2Olympique Mars…

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

410pm - Man City v West Ham - 1.38 home

HEAD TO HEADS

Sat11/12/10PRLWest Ham United1 - 3Manchester CityView eventsMore info
Sun09/05/10PRLWest Ham United1 - 1Manchester CityView eventsMore info
Mon28/09/09PRLManchester City3 - 1West Ham UnitedView eventsMore info
Sun01/03/09PRLWest Ham United1 - 0Manchester City

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

5pm - Fenerbahce v Buyuksehir - 1.26 home

HEAD TO HEADS

Sat27/11/10SÜLIstanbul BB0 - 1FenerbahçeView eventsMore info
Sun28/02/10SÜLIstanbul BB2 - 1FenerbahçeView eventsMore info
Sun20/09/09SÜLFenerbahçe1 - 0Istanbul BBView eventsMore info
Sun08/02/09SÜLIstanbul BB2 - 0Fenerbahçe

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

745pm - Bari v Roma - 1.33 away

HEAD TO HEADS

Sun12/12/10SEARoma1 - 0BariView eventsMore info
Sat03/04/10SEABari0 - 1RomaView eventsMore info
Sun22/11/09SEARoma3 - 1BariView eventsMore info
Sat19/05/01SEABari1 - 4Roma

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS


230 HAMILTON

BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Honest Deal, 100/30 Sam Nombulist, 6/1 Rio Park, 14/1 Ninth Parallel, 16/1 Honest Buck, 33/1 American Lover, 50/1 Machir Bay, 50/1 Wing N Prayer, 100/1 Walleyd.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Plenty of dead wood in this field and with the newcomer Rio Park an unknown quantity, this looks best left to HONEST DEAL. He has run to a similar level on all three runs this year and the return to a slightly shorter trip should see him to good effect.[Paul Smith]

3 under 16/1 should give recent runner Honest deal a great chance of placing.

535 NEWMARKET

BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Art History, 4/1 Buthelezi, 5/1 Barbican, 5/1 Barney Rebel, 11/2 Sergeant Ablett, 14/1Bridle Belle, 20/1 Golden Hinde.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Last month's C&D winner ART HISTORY (nap) remains the one to beat. Buthelezi would be the chief danger if reappearing as a more mature individual after his winter break, but there is notable potential among the likes of Sergeant Ablett, Barbican and Barney Rebel too.[Richard Austen]

I put up Art History last time, this Johnston horse is assisted by Frankie and the only race of interest on

405 SALISBURY

BETTING FORECAST: 4/9 Reflect, 9/2 Golestan Palace, 6/1 Sirius Superstar, 14/1 Band Of Thunder, 33/1 Refusal.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Likely both Golestan Palace and Sirius Superstar are capable of better but this is an obvious opportunity for REFLECT to get off the mark.[Adrian Cook]

Reflect now 1/4 for Hannon and Dobbs this time.

350 SLIGO

BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Domination, 2/1 Apt Manor, 7/1 Lend A Hand Son, 8/1 The Hamptons, 16/1 Sixteen Forty Two, 50/1 Harps Counsel, 50/1 Live Trade, 50/1 Lord Friday.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: DOMINATION had little difficulty justifying odds of 1-4 at Clonmel last week and turning out again with ground conditions to suit he shades the verdict over Apt Manor. [Brian Fleming]

8 runners and 3 places must make Domination of interest again to place4 under 66/1 here makes this a great probability race with a clear round of course.



SHORTLIST

The Liverpool match is off now which is a pity as Liverpool are winning.

1245pm - Celtic v Dundee Utd - 1.3 home - 1.19 over 1.5 goals here looks naturally occuring and covers the 1-1 which has come up in 2 recent matches with Celtic playing.

130pm - PSV v Vitesse - 1.22 home - famous last words but this looks nailed on for PSV bar any "silly season surprises " a la Blackpool 0-0 at home. Read the conclusion and tell me if that does not make a compelling argument for PSV today

130pm - Twente v Willem II - 1.11 home - sub 1.15 equals 3/4 goals lead and although Twente have beaten bottom 4 sides, it has only been by a maximum of 2 goals Faith in odds though will lead to over 3.5, over 4.5 goals.

2pm - AC Milan v Bologna - 1.24 home - AC Milan, like Real Madrid , can throw in the odd googly at home but having kept a clean sheet in 6 of last 7 home matches, they meet a side who have not scored in last 3. The nerves could get to AC Milan with Inter scoring a late late winner yesterday but form wise, they should really win easily.

230 HAMILTON - 3 under 16/1 here and Honest Deal must be in with a great place only chance. 1.09 to place means others have spotted this too.

405 SALISBURY - reflect is 1.26 to win and 1.09 to place.

350 SLIGO - 4 under 66/1 makes this a superb place only race with Domination at 1.11 to place, Apt Manor 1.26 to place but the marke





t really is very illiquid.